Jameson Williams or Denzel Boston?
Start Jameson Williams. Williams projects 0.0 points clear of Denzel Boston in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Boston.
Jameson Williams
StartTools
Loading this fantasy football tool.
Tools
Working out who to start.
Before you lock in a kicker or a quarterback, check this week's game day weather.
Week 8
Real Week 8 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Jameson Williams. Williams projects 0.0 points clear of Denzel Boston in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Boston.
Jameson Williams
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
WR
DET
10.5 projected points
Denzel Boston
SitWR
CLE
10.5 projected points
Start Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Chase McLaughlin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore McLaughlin.
Evan McPherson
StartK
CIN
9.1 projected points
Chase McLaughlin
SitK
TB
9.1 projected points
Start Jalen Coker. Coker projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Jalen Coker
StartWR
CAR
16.5 projected points
Parker Washington
SitWR
JAX
16.4 projected points
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown. Brown projects 0.0 points clear of Drake London in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore London.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
StartWR
DET
17.6 projected points
Drake London
SitWR
ATL
17.6 projected points
Start Tucker Kraft. Kraft projects 0.0 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Tucker Kraft
StartTE
GB
11.2 projected points
Dallas Goedert
SitTE
PHI
11.2 projected points
Start Dak Prescott. Prescott projects 0.1 points clear of Drake Maye in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Maye.
Dak Prescott
StartQB
DAL
22.9 projected points
Drake Maye
SitQB
NE
22.9 projected points
Start Matthew Stafford. Stafford projects 0.1 points clear of Caleb Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Matthew Stafford
StartQB
LAR
16.3 projected points
Caleb Williams
SitQB
CHI
16.3 projected points
Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs projects 0.1 points clear of Bucky Irving in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Irving.
Josh Jacobs
StartRB
GB
16.0 projected points
Bucky Irving
SitRB
TB
16.0 projected points
Start Michael Wilson. Wilson projects 0.1 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Michael Wilson
StartWR
ARI
16.4 projected points
Garrett Wilson
SitWR
NYJ
16.3 projected points
Start Chad Ryland. Ryland projects 0.1 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Chad Ryland
StartK
ARI
8.4 projected points
Jake Bates
SitK
DET
8.4 projected points
Start Kenneth Walker III. III projects 0.1 points clear of Javonte Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Kenneth Walker III
StartRB
KC
20.9 projected points
Javonte Williams
SitRB
DAL
20.8 projected points
Start Minnesota Vikings. Vikings projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Minnesota Vikings
StartDEF
MIN
6.4 projected points
Cleveland Browns
SitDEF
CLE
6.4 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Dak Prescott. Prescott projects 0.1 points clear of Drake Maye in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Maye.
Full breakdown: Prescott vs MayeTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Matthew Stafford. Stafford projects 0.1 points clear of Caleb Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Put Stafford and Williams on the boardStart Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes projects 0.1 points clear of Jordan Love in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Love.
Check Mahomes against LoveWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs projects 0.1 points clear of Bucky Irving in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Irving.
Full breakdown: Jacobs vs IrvingStart Kenneth Walker III. III projects 0.1 points clear of Javonte Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Put III and Williams on the boardStart James Cook III. III projects 0.1 points clear of Derrick Henry in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Henry.
Check III against HenryStart Jameson Williams. Williams projects 0.0 points clear of Denzel Boston in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Boston.
Full breakdown: Williams vs BostonStart Jalen Coker. Coker projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Put Coker and Washington on the boardStart Amon-Ra St. Brown. Brown projects 0.0 points clear of Drake London in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore London.
Check Brown against LondonStart Tucker Kraft. Kraft projects 0.0 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Full breakdown: Kraft vs GoedertStart Dallas Goedert. Goedert projects 0.1 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Put Goedert and LaPorta on the boardStart Brenton Strange. Strange projects 0.1 points clear of Harold Fannin Jr. in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jr..
Check Strange against Jr.Defense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Chase McLaughlin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore McLaughlin.
Full breakdown: McPherson vs McLaughlinStart Chad Ryland. Ryland projects 0.1 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Put Ryland and Bates on the boardStart Minnesota Vikings. Vikings projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Check Vikings against BrownsWeek 8, 2026. Projections updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes projects 0.1 points clear of Jordan Love in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Love.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
QB (quarterback)
KC
opponent (DEN)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR17.2
Floor 11.1,Ceiling 23.2
Matchup
Sit this player
QB (quarterback)
GB
opponent (CAR)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR17.1
Start this player
QB (quarterback)
KC
opponent (DEN)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR17.2
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 25 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Patrick Mahomes 50 percent, Jordan Love 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Jordan Love holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Jordan Love 59%, Patrick Mahomes 41%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Jordan Love holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Jordan Love 59%, Patrick Mahomes 41%.
Game environment
Beat rate
37%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 2 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 22.7 | 29.0 | 16.9 | 17.0 | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| Projected | 15.1 | 17.7 | 20.6 | 21.3 | 18.6 | 16.5 |
Value (FF Beacon)
3,861
Overall rank
#62
Floor 11.2,Ceiling 23.0
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
36%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 13.8 | 19.5 | 14.1 | 25.3 | 21.2 | 18.0 |
| Projected | 19.6 | 16.5 | 17.1 | 17.3 | 20.6 | 19.7 |
Value (FF Beacon)
3,481
Overall rank
#73
Floor 11.1,Ceiling 23.2
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
37%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 2 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 22.7 | 29.0 | 16.9 | 17.0 | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| Projected | 15.1 | 17.7 | 20.6 | 21.3 | 18.6 | 16.5 |
Value (FF Beacon)
3,861
Overall rank
#62
Sit this player
QB (quarterback)
GB
opponent (CAR)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR17.1
Floor 11.2,Ceiling 23.0
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
36%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|
Value (FF Beacon)
3,481
Overall rank
#73
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love (leader) | 59% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 41% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Patrick Mahomes or Jordan Love, in percentage points. Totals: Patrick Mahomes 1.6 points, Jordan Love 11.1 points, for a final split of 41 to 59.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.7 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Jordan Love by 1.6 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Jordan Love by 0.7 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Jordan Love by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Age & Long-Term Appeal: favors Jordan Love by 7.8 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Totals: Patrick Mahomes 1.6 points, Jordan Love 11.1 points, for a final split of 41 to 59. 7 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.7 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.4 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.5 |
| Upside | 10% | Jordan Love | 1.6 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Jordan Love | 0.7 |
| Recent Production | 5% | Jordan Love | 1.0 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal | 16% |
| Category | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 3,861 Best | Jordan Love: 3,481 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: #62 BestDown 6 in 30 days | Jordan Love: #73 Up 30 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: QB9 BestTier 1 | Jordan Love: QB12 Tier 2 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: -17.6% Range 3,694 to 4,865 | Jordan Love: +21.9% BestRange 2,637 to 3,504 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: QB18 (2026) Before that: QB11, QB11 | Jordan Love: QB8 (2026) BestBefore that: QB15, QB17 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Jordan Love: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Healthy | Jordan Love: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 215.8 Best11 games left | Jordan Love: 178.8 10 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 19.6 BestRange 17.5 to 21.7 | Jordan Love: 17.9 Range 15.9 to 19.8 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 17.2 Week 8 vs DEN | Jordan Love: 17.1 Week 8 vs CAR |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral vs DEN, 1.00x | Jordan Love: Neutral vs CAR, 1.00x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral 1.00x average | Jordan Love: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 37% Best36 graded games | Jordan Love: 36% 37 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: 100% | Jordan Love: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome Spread 0.35 | Jordan Love: Metronome BestSpread 0.35 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 31.1 yrs Year 10 | Jordan Love: 28.0 yrs BestYear 7 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome Best | Jordan Love: Metronome |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Cooling off | Jordan Love: Trending up Best |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Win-now asset Age 31.1 | Jordan Love: Blue-chip Age 28.0 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Every-week flex | Jordan Love: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
3,861
BestJordan Love
3,481
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
#62
BestDown 6 in 30 days
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Jordan Love takes 59% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Jordan Love leads on age & long-term appeal and ff beacon value.
Safer floor
Jordan Love is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Jordan Love has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Patrick Mahomes carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Patrick Mahomes 50%, Jordan Love 50%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Patrick Mahomes 50%, Jordan Love 50%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 50% |
| Jordan Love | 50% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Patrick Mahomes or Jordan Love, in percentage points. Totals: Patrick Mahomes 1.8 points, Jordan Love 1.9 points, for a final split of 50 to 50.
Rest-of-Season Points
Weighted at 20% of this lens
Rest-of-Season Points: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.9 percentage points, carrying 20 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Patrick Mahomes by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
| Category | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 3,861 Best | Jordan Love: 3,481 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for the rest of this season.
Safer floor
Jordan Love is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Patrick Mahomes 50%, Jordan Love 50%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Patrick Mahomes 50%, Jordan Love 50%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 50% |
| Jordan Love | 50% |
| Category | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 3,861 | Jordan Love: 3,481 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: #62 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for this week.
Safer floor
Jordan Love is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Patrick Mahomes
Range 193 to 239 points. Schedule: neutral.
Jordan Love
Range 159 to 198 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 8 to week 18. Patrick Mahomes totals 216 points, Jordan Love totals 179 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Patrick Mahomes has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Jordan Love has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Patrick MahomesNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Patrick Mahomes projects for 216 points, in a range from 193 to 239. Jordan Love projects for 179 points, in a range from 159 to 198.
Patrick Mahomes
193 to 239 pts
Jordan Love
159 to 198 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 193 | 216 | 239 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Patrick Mahomes
From 36 graded games across 36 projected weeks.
Jordan Love
From 37 graded games across 37 projected weeks.
One mark per graded game in the 2026 season, placed by how far above or below projection the player finished. A tight cluster near the middle line is a player you can set and forget. The tiles above cover every season we have graded, so their game counts are higher.
Patrick Mahomes finished above projection in 2 of 6 graded games, averaging minus 1.0 points. Jordan Love finished above projection in 4 of 7 graded games, averaging plus 0.8 points.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Patrick Mahomes: 2 boom, 2 about right, 2 bust, 11 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Jordan Love: 2 boom, 4 about right, 1 bust, 10 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Patrick Mahomes
Boom 2, About right 2, Bust 2, Did not play 11
Jordan Love
Boom 2, About right 4, Bust 1, Did not play 10
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Patrick Mahomes
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 6 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 350.1.
Patrick Mahomes is going roughly 4.0 rounds later than our ranking suggests. That is a buying window.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Jordan Love
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 30 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 276.5.
Jordan Love is going roughly 7.2 rounds later than our ranking suggests. That is a buying window.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Patrick Mahomes went from 5,072 to 3,861, down 1,211. Jordan Love went from 3,254 to 3,481, up 227
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Redraft 1QB PPR
Oct 25, 2026
Redraft 1QB PPR
Oct 24, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 6 | 7 Best |
| Total yards | 1,545 | 1,968 Best |
| Scrimmage yards | 71 Best | 10 |
| Total TDs | 10 | 14 Best |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 104.1 | 132.3 Best |
| PPR per game | 17.3 | 18.9 Best |
Passing
| Stat | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| Completions | 124 | 162 Best |
| Pass attempts | 191 | 271 Best |
| Completion % | 64.9% Best | 59.8% |
| Passing yards | 1,474 | 1,958 Best |
| Passing TDs | 9 | 13 Best |
| Interceptions | 4 Best | 5 |
| Yards / attempt | 7.7 Best | 7.2 |
Rushing
| Stat | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19 Best | 11 |
| Rushing yards | 71 Best | 10 |
| Rushing TDs | 1 Best | 1 Best |
| Yards / carry | 3.7 Best | 0.9 |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 207 vs DEN | 387 Bestvs MIN |
| Wk 2 | 399 Bestvs IND | 145 vs NYJ |
| Wk 3 | 247 vs MIA | 312 Bestvs ATL |
| Wk 4 | 225 Bestvs LV | 189 vs TB |
| Wk 5 | - | 373 Bestvs CHI |
| Wk 6 | 288 Bestvs LAC | 288 Bestvs DAL |
| Wk 7 | 179 vs SEA | 274 Bestvs DET |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade Calculator| Scored | 13.8 | 19.5 | 14.1 | 25.3 | 21.2 | 18.0 |
|---|
| Projected | 19.6 | 16.5 | 17.1 | 17.3 | 20.6 | 19.7 |
|---|
| Jordan Love |
| 7.8 |
Jordan Love
#73
Up 30 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
QB9
BestTier 1
Jordan Love
QB12
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
-17.6%
Range 3,694 to 4,865
Jordan Love
+21.9%
BestRange 2,637 to 3,504
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
QB18 (2026)
Before that: QB11, QB11
Jordan Love
QB8 (2026)
BestBefore that: QB15, QB17
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Jordan Love
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Healthy
Jordan Love
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
215.8
Best11 games left
Jordan Love
178.8
10 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
19.6
BestRange 17.5 to 21.7
Jordan Love
17.9
Range 15.9 to 19.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
17.2
Week 8 vs DEN
Jordan Love
17.1
Week 8 vs CAR
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
vs DEN, 1.00x
Jordan Love
Neutral
vs CAR, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
1.00x average
Jordan Love
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
37%
Best36 graded games
Jordan Love
36%
37 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
100%
Jordan Love
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
Spread 0.35
Jordan Love
Metronome
BestSpread 0.35
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
31.1 yrs
Year 10
Jordan Love
28.0 yrs
BestYear 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
BestJordan Love
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Cooling off
Jordan Love
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Win-now asset
Age 31.1
Jordan Love
Blue-chip
Age 28.0
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Every-week flex
Jordan Love
Every-week flex
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Jordan Love by 1.6 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 2% of this lens
Upside: favors Jordan Love by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 2 percent of the weight.
Totals: Patrick Mahomes 1.8 points, Jordan Love 1.9 points, for a final split of 50 to 50. 11 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points | 20% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.9 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.5 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Patrick Mahomes | 0.4 |
| Recent Production | 8% | Jordan Love | 1.6 |
| Upside | 2% | Jordan Love | 0.2 |
Patrick Mahomes: #62 BestDown 6 in 30 days |
Jordan Love: #73 Up 30 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: QB9 BestTier 1 | Jordan Love: QB12 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: -17.6% Range 3,694 to 4,865 | Jordan Love: +21.9% BestRange 2,637 to 3,504 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: QB18 (2026) Before that: QB11, QB11 | Jordan Love: QB8 (2026) BestBefore that: QB15, QB17 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Jordan Love: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Healthy | Jordan Love: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 215.8 Best11 games left | Jordan Love: 178.8 10 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 19.6 BestRange 17.5 to 21.7 | Jordan Love: 17.9 Range 15.9 to 19.8 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 17.2 BestWeek 8 vs DEN | Jordan Love: 17.1 Week 8 vs CAR |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral vs DEN, 1.00x | Jordan Love: Neutral vs CAR, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral 1.00x average | Jordan Love: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 37% Best36 graded games | Jordan Love: 36% 37 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: 100% | Jordan Love: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome Spread 0.35 | Jordan Love: Metronome BestSpread 0.35 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 31.1 yrs Year 10 | Jordan Love: 28.0 yrs Year 7 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome Best | Jordan Love: Metronome |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Cooling off | Jordan Love: Trending up Best |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Win-now asset Age 31.1 | Jordan Love: Blue-chip Age 28.0 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Every-week flex | Jordan Love: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
3,861
BestJordan Love
3,481
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
#62
BestDown 6 in 30 days
Jordan Love
#73
Up 30 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
QB9
BestTier 1
Jordan Love
QB12
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
-17.6%
Range 3,694 to 4,865
Jordan Love
+21.9%
BestRange 2,637 to 3,504
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
QB18 (2026)
Before that: QB11, QB11
Jordan Love
QB8 (2026)
BestBefore that: QB15, QB17
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Jordan Love
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Healthy
Jordan Love
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
215.8
Best11 games left
Jordan Love
178.8
10 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
19.6
BestRange 17.5 to 21.7
Jordan Love
17.9
Range 15.9 to 19.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
17.2
BestWeek 8 vs DEN
Jordan Love
17.1
Week 8 vs CAR
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
vs DEN, 1.00x
Jordan Love
Neutral
vs CAR, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
1.00x average
Jordan Love
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
37%
Best36 graded games
Jordan Love
36%
37 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
100%
Jordan Love
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
Spread 0.35
Jordan Love
Metronome
BestSpread 0.35
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
31.1 yrs
Year 10
Jordan Love
28.0 yrs
Year 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
BestJordan Love
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Cooling off
Jordan Love
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Win-now asset
Age 31.1
Jordan Love
Blue-chip
Age 28.0
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Every-week flex
Jordan Love
Every-week flex
Higher upside
Jordan Love has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Patrick Mahomes carries the strongest current value.
Down 6 in 30 days
Jordan Love: #73 Up 30 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: QB9 Tier 1 | Jordan Love: QB12 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: -17.6% Range 3,694 to 4,865 | Jordan Love: +21.9% Range 2,637 to 3,504 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: QB18 (2026) Before that: QB11, QB11 | Jordan Love: QB8 (2026) Before that: QB15, QB17 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Jordan Love: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Healthy | Jordan Love: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 215.8 11 games left | Jordan Love: 178.8 10 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 19.6 BestRange 17.5 to 21.7 | Jordan Love: 17.9 Range 15.9 to 19.8 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 17.2 BestWeek 8 vs DEN | Jordan Love: 17.1 Week 8 vs CAR |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral vs DEN, 1.00x | Jordan Love: Neutral vs CAR, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Neutral 1.00x average | Jordan Love: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: 37% Best36 graded games | Jordan Love: 36% 37 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 100% | Jordan Love: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome Spread 0.35 | Jordan Love: Metronome BestSpread 0.35 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: 31.1 yrs Year 10 | Jordan Love: 28.0 yrs Year 7 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Metronome | Jordan Love: Metronome |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Cooling off | Jordan Love: Trending up |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Win-now asset Age 31.1 | Jordan Love: Blue-chip Age 28.0 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Patrick Mahomes: Every-week flex | Jordan Love: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
3,861
Jordan Love
3,481
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
#62
Down 6 in 30 days
Jordan Love
#73
Up 30 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
QB9
Tier 1
Jordan Love
QB12
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
-17.6%
Range 3,694 to 4,865
Jordan Love
+21.9%
Range 2,637 to 3,504
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
QB18 (2026)
Before that: QB11, QB11
Jordan Love
QB8 (2026)
Before that: QB15, QB17
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Jordan Love
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Healthy
Jordan Love
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
215.8
11 games left
Jordan Love
178.8
10 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
19.6
BestRange 17.5 to 21.7
Jordan Love
17.9
Range 15.9 to 19.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
17.2
BestWeek 8 vs DEN
Jordan Love
17.1
Week 8 vs CAR
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
vs DEN, 1.00x
Jordan Love
Neutral
vs CAR, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Neutral
1.00x average
Jordan Love
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
37%
Best36 graded games
Jordan Love
36%
37 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
100%
Jordan Love
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
Spread 0.35
Jordan Love
Metronome
BestSpread 0.35
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
31.1 yrs
Year 10
Jordan Love
28.0 yrs
Year 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Metronome
Jordan Love
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Cooling off
Jordan Love
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Win-now asset
Age 31.1
Jordan Love
Blue-chip
Age 28.0
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Patrick Mahomes
Every-week flex
Jordan Love
Every-week flex
| Week | Patrick Mahomes | Opponent | Jordan Love | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 17.2 | DEN | 17.1 | CAR |
| 9 | 20.0 | NYJ | 16.7 | NE |
| 10 | 18.3 | ATL | 15.3 | MIN |
| 11 | 23.4 | ARI | Bye | - |
| 12 | 20.1 | BUF | 15.7 | LAR |
| 13 | 17.7 | LAR | 17.8 | NO |
| 14 | 20.3 | CIN | 18.1 | BUF |
| 15 | 18.8 | NE | 20.7 | MIA |
| 16 | 18.6 | SF | 18.7 | CHI |
| 17 | 19.9 | LAC | 18.0 | HOU |
| 18 | 21.6 | LV | 20.8 | DET |
Jordan LoveNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 8 | DEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 9 | NYJ | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10 | ATL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11 | ARI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 12 | BUF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 13 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 14 | CIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 15 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 16 | SF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 17 | LAC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Patrick Mahomes | 18 | LV | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 8 | CAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 9 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 10 | MIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 12 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 13 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 14 | BUF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 15 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 16 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 17 | HOU | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 18 | DET | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Jordan Love | 159 | 179 | 198 |
| Player | Week | Projected | Actual | Difference |
|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 1 | 15.1 | 22.7 | +7.5 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 17.7 | 29.0 | +11.3 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 3 | 20.6 | 16.9 | -3.7 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4 | 21.3 | 17.0 | -4.3 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 6 | 18.6 | 11.5 | -7.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 7 | 16.5 | 7.0 | -9.5 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 8 | 17.2 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 9 | 20.1 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10 | 18.4 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11 | 23.5 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 12 | 20.2 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 13 | 17.8 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 14 | 20.3 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 15 | 18.9 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 16 | 18.6 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 17 | 19.9 | Did not play | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | 18 | 21.6 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 1 | 15.7 | 20.5 | +4.8 |
| Jordan Love | 2 | 19.6 | 13.8 | -5.8 |
| Jordan Love | 3 | 16.5 | 19.5 | +3.0 |
| Jordan Love | 4 | 17.1 | 14.1 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Love | 5 | 17.3 | 25.3 | +8.0 |
| Jordan Love | 6 | 20.6 | 21.2 | +0.7 |
| Jordan Love | 7 | 19.7 | 18.0 | -1.8 |
| Jordan Love | 8 | 17.1 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 9 | 16.7 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 10 | 15.3 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 12 | 15.7 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 13 | 17.8 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 14 | 18.1 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 15 | 20.8 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 16 | 18.7 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 17 | 18.0 | Did not play | - |
| Jordan Love | 18 | 20.8 | Did not play | - |
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust | Did not play | Weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| Jordan Love | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| Date | Patrick Mahomes | Jordan Love |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | 3,861 | 3,481 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 3,694 | 3,504 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3,808 | 3,490 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 3,814 | 3,453 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3,846 | 3,388 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 3,994 | 3,288 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4,063 | 3,386 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4,240 | 3,339 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4,292 | 3,374 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4,329 | 3,329 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 4,274 | 3,341 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4,503 | 3,405 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 4,644 | 3,307 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 4,730 | 3,247 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 4,836 | 3,171 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 4,865 | 2,949 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 4,755 | 2,858 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 4,784 | 2,766 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 4,823 | 2,685 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 4,658 | 2,653 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 4,556 | 2,637 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 4,408 | 2,679 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 4,264 | 2,811 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 4,725 | 3,093 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | 4,679 | 2,974 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 4,583 | 3,191 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 4,513 | 2,939 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 4,503 | 2,966 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 4,677 | 3,100 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 4,705 | 2,974 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | 4,688 | 2,856 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 4,584 | 3,036 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 4,566 | 3,219 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 4,735 | 3,033 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 4,581 | 3,159 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 4,202 | 3,119 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 3,876 | 3,009 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 3,836 | 3,210 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 3,781 | 3,036 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 3,992 | 3,015 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 3,698 | 2,894 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 3,661 | 2,622 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 3,660 | 2,947 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 3,674 | 2,755 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | 3,680 | 2,717 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 3,699 | 2,768 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 3,721 | 2,625 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 3,390 | 2,704 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 3,804 | 3,119 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 3,894 | 3,133 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 3,825 | 3,140 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 3,864 | 3,094 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 3,907 | 3,122 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 3,782 | 2,975 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 3,976 | 2,965 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 4,070 | 2,996 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 4,090 | 3,035 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 4,190 | 2,982 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 4,422 | 3,186 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 4,615 | 3,342 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4,389 | 3,368 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 4,561 | 3,371 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 4,277 | 3,292 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 4,201 | 3,253 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 4,378 | 3,167 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 4,379 | 3,200 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 4,435 | 3,200 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 4,438 | 3,271 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4,474 | 3,266 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 4,550 | 3,253 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 4,525 | 3,181 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 4,353 | 3,347 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 4,542 | 3,446 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 4,588 | 3,234 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 4,674 | 3,219 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 4,823 | 3,186 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 4,841 | 3,174 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 4,880 | 3,167 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 4,850 | 3,164 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 4,848 | 3,155 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 4,864 | 3,144 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 4,927 | 3,154 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 4,910 | 3,198 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 4,950 | 3,277 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 4,961 | 3,316 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 4,992 | 3,294 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 4,966 | 3,281 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4,977 | 3,286 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 4,993 | 3,293 |
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Oct 21, 2026
Redraft 1QB Half PPR
Oct 23, 2026
Redraft 1QB PPR
Oct 21, 2026
Redraft 1QB PPR
Oct 20, 2026