Jalen Coker or Michael Wilson?
Start Jalen Coker. Coker projects 0.0 points clear of Michael Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Jalen Coker
StartTools
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Working out who to start.
Before you lock in a kicker or a quarterback, check this week's game day weather.
Week 8
Real Week 8 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Jalen Coker. Coker projects 0.0 points clear of Michael Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Jalen Coker
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
WR
CAR
16.4 projected points
Michael Wilson
SitWR
ARI
16.3 projected points
Start Bucky Irving. Irving projects 0.0 points clear of Jonathan Taylor in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Taylor.
Bucky Irving
StartRB
TB
16.8 projected points
Jonathan Taylor
SitRB
IND
16.8 projected points
Start Carnell Tate. Tate projects 0.0 points clear of Matthew Golden in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Golden.
Carnell Tate
StartWR
TEN
13.7 projected points
Matthew Golden
SitWR
GB
13.7 projected points
Start Christian Watson. Watson projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Christian Watson
StartWR
GB
16.3 projected points
Garrett Wilson
SitWR
NYJ
16.3 projected points
Start Dak Prescott. Prescott projects 0.0 points clear of Drake Maye in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Maye.
Dak Prescott
StartQB
DAL
22.5 projected points
Drake Maye
SitQB
NE
22.4 projected points
Start Jayden Daniels. Daniels projects 0.0 points clear of Bryce Young in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Young.
Jayden Daniels
StartQB
WAS
18.2 projected points
Bryce Young
SitQB
CAR
18.2 projected points
Start George Pickens. Pickens projects 0.0 points clear of Tetairoa McMillan in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore McMillan.
George Pickens
StartWR
DAL
14.9 projected points
Tetairoa McMillan
SitWR
CAR
14.9 projected points
Start Harold Fannin Jr.. Jr. projects 0.0 points clear of Brenton Strange in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Strange.
Harold Fannin Jr.
StartTE
CLE
11.0 projected points
Brenton Strange
SitTE
JAX
10.9 projected points
Start CeeDee Lamb. Lamb projects 0.1 points clear of Puka Nacua in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nacua.
CeeDee Lamb
StartWR
DAL
22.5 projected points
Puka Nacua
SitWR
LAR
22.5 projected points
Start Chad Ryland. Ryland projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Chad Ryland
StartK
ARI
8.4 projected points
Jake Bates
SitK
DET
8.4 projected points
Start Tucker Kraft. Kraft projects 0.0 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Tucker Kraft
StartTE
GB
11.2 projected points
Sam LaPorta
SitTE
DET
11.1 projected points
Start Minnesota Vikings. Vikings projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore Browns.
Minnesota Vikings
StartDEF
MIN
6.5 projected points
Cleveland Browns
SitDEF
CLE
6.4 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Dak Prescott. Prescott projects 0.0 points clear of Drake Maye in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Maye.
Full breakdown: Prescott vs MayeTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Jayden Daniels. Daniels projects 0.0 points clear of Bryce Young in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Young.
Put Daniels and Young on the boardStart Joe Burrow. Burrow projects 0.2 points clear of Trevor Lawrence in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore Lawrence.
Check Burrow against LawrenceWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Bucky Irving. Irving projects 0.0 points clear of Jonathan Taylor in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Taylor.
Full breakdown: Irving vs TaylorStart Josh Jacobs. Jacobs projects 0.1 points clear of James Cook III in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore III.
Put Jacobs and III on the boardStart Jaylen Warren. Warren projects 0.1 points clear of Bhayshul Tuten in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Tuten.
Check Warren against TutenStart Jalen Coker. Coker projects 0.0 points clear of Michael Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Full breakdown: Coker vs WilsonStart Carnell Tate. Tate projects 0.0 points clear of Matthew Golden in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Golden.
Put Tate and Golden on the boardStart Christian Watson. Watson projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Check Watson against WilsonStart Harold Fannin Jr.. Jr. projects 0.0 points clear of Brenton Strange in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Strange.
Full breakdown: Jr. vs StrangeStart Tucker Kraft. Kraft projects 0.0 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Put Kraft and LaPorta on the boardStart Sam LaPorta. LaPorta projects 0.1 points clear of T.J. Hockenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Hockenson.
Check LaPorta against HockensonDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Chad Ryland. Ryland projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Full breakdown: Ryland vs BatesStart Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.1 points clear of Chase McLaughlin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore McLaughlin.
Put McPherson and McLaughlin on the boardStart Minnesota Vikings. Vikings projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore Browns.
Check Vikings against BrownsWeek 8, 2026. Projections updated Oct 28, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start George Pickens. Pickens projects 0.0 points clear of Tetairoa McMillan in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore McMillan.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
WR (wide receiver)
DAL
opponent (ARI)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.9
Floor 6.4,Ceiling 23.5
Matchup
Sit this player
WR (wide receiver)
CAR
opponent (GB)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.9
Start this player
WR (wide receiver)
DAL
opponent (ARI)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.9
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 25 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: George Pickens 50 percent, Tetairoa McMillan 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Tetairoa McMillan holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Tetairoa McMillan 56%, George Pickens 44%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Tetairoa McMillan holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Tetairoa McMillan 56%, George Pickens 44%.
Game environment
Beat rate
46%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 10.0 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 28.0 | 13.3 | 15.7 |
| Projected | 15.7 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 13.9 | 13.7 | 11.5 |
Value (FF Beacon)
4,673
Overall rank
#42
Floor 5.0,Ceiling 24.7
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
37%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 10.5 | 15.1 | 3.7 | 45.2 | 14.6 | 8.0 |
| Projected | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.2 | 15.9 | 13.2 | 14.1 |
Value (FF Beacon)
5,486
Overall rank
#32
Floor 6.4,Ceiling 23.5
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
46%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored | 10.0 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 28.0 | 13.3 | 15.7 |
| Projected | 15.7 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 13.9 | 13.7 | 11.5 |
Value (FF Beacon)
4,673
Overall rank
#42
Sit this player
WR (wide receiver)
CAR
opponent (GB)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.9
Floor 5.0,Ceiling 24.7
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
37%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 6 weeks, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 3 of 6 graded weeks.
| Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scored |
Value (FF Beacon)
5,486
Overall rank
#32
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan (leader) | 56% |
| George Pickens | 44% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward George Pickens or Tetairoa McMillan, in percentage points. Totals: George Pickens 0.0 points, Tetairoa McMillan 5.9 points, for a final split of 44 to 56.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Age & Long-Term Appeal: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 2.0 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Risk Level
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Risk Level: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Totals: George Pickens 0.0 points, Tetairoa McMillan 5.9 points, for a final split of 44 to 56. 7 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Tetairoa McMillan | 1.1 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal | 16% | Tetairoa McMillan | 2.0 |
| Upside | 10% | Tetairoa McMillan | 1.0 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.6 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.3 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.4 |
| Risk Level | 5% |
| Category | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 4,673 | Tetairoa McMillan: 5,486 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: #42 Down 12 in 30 days | Tetairoa McMillan: #32 Best |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: WR18 Tier 1 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR15 BestTier 1 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: -23.9% Range 4,579 to 5,914 | Tetairoa McMillan: -3.8% BestRange 5,163 to 6,515 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: WR15 (2026) BestBefore that: WR5, WR42 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR16 (2026) Before that: WR16 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Starter Depth chart slot 2 | Tetairoa McMillan: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Healthy | Tetairoa McMillan: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 131.9 10 games left | Tetairoa McMillan: 150.0 Best11 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 13.2 Range 10.8 to 15.6 | Tetairoa McMillan: 13.6 BestRange 10.9 to 16.4 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 14.9 Week 8 vs ARI | Tetairoa McMillan: 14.9 Week 8 vs GB |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Neutral vs ARI, 1.00x | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Neutral 1.00x average | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 46% Best38 graded games | Tetairoa McMillan: 37% 23 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: 100% | Tetairoa McMillan: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Steady BestSpread 0.57 | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy Spread 0.66 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 25.7 yrs Year 5 | Tetairoa McMillan: 23.6 yrs BestYear 2 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Steady | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy Best |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Cooling off | Tetairoa McMillan: Ceiling play Best |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Blue-chip Age 25.7 | Tetairoa McMillan: Cornerstone Age 23.6 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Every-week flex | Tetairoa McMillan: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
4,673
Tetairoa McMillan
5,486
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
#42
Down 12 in 30 days
Tetairoa McMillan
#32
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Tetairoa McMillan takes 56% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Tetairoa McMillan leads on ff beacon value and age & long-term appeal.
Safer floor
George Pickens is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Tetairoa McMillan has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Tetairoa McMillan carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Tetairoa McMillan 52%, George Pickens 48%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Tetairoa McMillan 52%, George Pickens 48%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 52% |
| George Pickens | 48% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward George Pickens or Tetairoa McMillan, in percentage points. Totals: George Pickens 0.4 points, Tetairoa McMillan 1.9 points, for a final split of 48 to 52.
Rest-of-Season Points
Weighted at 20% of this lens
Rest-of-Season Points: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 20 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors George Pickens by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
| Category | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 4,673 | Tetairoa McMillan: 5,486 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for the rest of this season.
Safer floor
George Pickens is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: George Pickens 51%, Tetairoa McMillan 49%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: George Pickens 51%, Tetairoa McMillan 49%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| George Pickens | 51% |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 49% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward George Pickens or Tetairoa McMillan, in percentage points. Totals: George Pickens 1.2 points, Tetairoa McMillan 0.0 points, for a final split of 51 to 49.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors George Pickens by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 11% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors George Pickens by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 11 percent of the weight.
Totals: George Pickens 1.2 points, Tetairoa McMillan 0.0 points, for a final split of 51 to 49. 4 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 4,673 | Tetairoa McMillan: 5,486 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for this week.
Safer floor
George Pickens is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
George Pickens
Range 108 to 156 points. Schedule: neutral.
Tetairoa McMillan
Range 120 to 180 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 8 to week 18. George Pickens totals 132 points, Tetairoa McMillan totals 150 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
George Pickens has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Tetairoa McMillan has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
George PickensNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
George Pickens projects for 132 points, in a range from 108 to 156. Tetairoa McMillan projects for 150 points, in a range from 120 to 180.
George Pickens
108 to 156 pts
Tetairoa McMillan
120 to 180 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 108 | 132 | 156 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
George Pickens
From 38 graded games across 38 projected weeks.
Tetairoa McMillan
From 23 graded games across 23 projected weeks.
One mark per graded game in the 2026 season, placed by how far above or below projection the player finished. A tight cluster near the middle line is a player you can set and forget. The tiles above cover every season we have graded, so their game counts are higher.
George Pickens finished above projection in 3 of 7 graded games, averaging minus 0.3 points. Tetairoa McMillan finished above projection in 3 of 6 graded games, averaging plus 1.7 points.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
George Pickens: 2 boom, 2 about right, 3 bust, 10 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Tetairoa McMillan: 1 boom, 2 about right, 3 bust, 11 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
George Pickens
Boom 2, About right 2, Bust 3, Did not play 10
Tetairoa McMillan
Boom 1, About right 2, Bust 3, Did not play 11
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
George Pickens
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 12 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 430.0.
George Pickens is going roughly 1.6 rounds earlier than our ranking suggests. You are paying up.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Tetairoa McMillan
Sleeper PPR ADP
Value volatility over 30 days: 379.9.
Tetairoa McMillan is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
George Pickens went from 6,671 to 4,673, down 1,998. Tetairoa McMillan went from 6,190 to 5,486, down 704
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Oct 27, 2026
Redraft 1QB PPR
Oct 27, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 7 Best | 6 |
| Total yards | 485 | 511 Best |
| Scrimmage yards | 485 | 511 Best |
| Total TDs | 2 Best | 2 Best |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 97.5 Best | 97.1 |
| PPR per game | 13.9 | 16.2 Best |
Receiving
| Stat | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 58 Best | 54 |
| Receptions | 37 Best | 36 |
| Catch % | 63.8% | 66.7% Best |
| Receiving yards | 485 | 511 Best |
| Receiving TDs | 2 Best | 2 Best |
| Yards / catch | 13.1 | 14.2 Best |
| Yards / target | 8.4 | 9.5 Best |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 28 vs NYG | 75 Bestvs CHI |
| Wk 2 | 40 vs WAS | 101 Bestvs ATL |
| Wk 3 | 82 Bestvs BAL | 17 vs CLE |
| Wk 4 | 75 vs HOU | 192 Bestvs DET |
| Wk 5 | 130 Bestvs TB | - |
| Wk 6 | 73 vs GB | 86 Bestvs PHI |
| Wk 7 | 57 Bestvs PHI | 40 vs TB |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade Calculator| 10.5 |
| 15.1 |
| 3.7 |
| 45.2 |
| 14.6 |
| 8.0 |
| Projected | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.2 | 15.9 | 13.2 | 14.1 |
|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan |
| 0.5 |
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
WR18
Tier 1
Tetairoa McMillan
WR15
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
-23.9%
Range 4,579 to 5,914
Tetairoa McMillan
-3.8%
BestRange 5,163 to 6,515
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
WR15 (2026)
BestBefore that: WR5, WR42
Tetairoa McMillan
WR16 (2026)
Before that: WR16
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Starter
Depth chart slot 2
Tetairoa McMillan
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Healthy
Tetairoa McMillan
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
131.9
10 games left
Tetairoa McMillan
150.0
Best11 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
13.2
Range 10.8 to 15.6
Tetairoa McMillan
13.6
BestRange 10.9 to 16.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
14.9
Week 8 vs ARI
Tetairoa McMillan
14.9
Week 8 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Neutral
vs ARI, 1.00x
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Neutral
1.00x average
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
46%
Best38 graded games
Tetairoa McMillan
37%
23 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
100%
Tetairoa McMillan
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Steady
BestSpread 0.57
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
Spread 0.66
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
25.7 yrs
Year 5
Tetairoa McMillan
23.6 yrs
BestYear 2
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Steady
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
BestUpside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Cooling off
Tetairoa McMillan
Ceiling play
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Blue-chip
Age 25.7
Tetairoa McMillan
Cornerstone
Age 23.6
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Every-week flex
Tetairoa McMillan
Every-week flex
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 7% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Tetairoa McMillan by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Totals: George Pickens 0.4 points, Tetairoa McMillan 1.9 points, for a final split of 48 to 52. 11 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points | 20% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.6 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.8 |
| Beat Rate | 8% | George Pickens | 0.4 |
| FF Beacon Value | 7% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.3 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.2 |
George Pickens: #42 Down 12 in 30 days |
Tetairoa McMillan: #32 Best |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: WR18 Tier 1 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR15 BestTier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: -23.9% Range 4,579 to 5,914 | Tetairoa McMillan: -3.8% BestRange 5,163 to 6,515 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: WR15 (2026) BestBefore that: WR5, WR42 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR16 (2026) Before that: WR16 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Starter Depth chart slot 2 | Tetairoa McMillan: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Healthy | Tetairoa McMillan: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 131.9 10 games left | Tetairoa McMillan: 150.0 Best11 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 13.2 Range 10.8 to 15.6 | Tetairoa McMillan: 13.6 BestRange 10.9 to 16.4 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 14.9 BestWeek 8 vs ARI | Tetairoa McMillan: 14.9 Week 8 vs GB |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Neutral vs ARI, 1.00x | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Neutral 1.00x average | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 46% Best38 graded games | Tetairoa McMillan: 37% 23 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: 100% | Tetairoa McMillan: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Steady BestSpread 0.57 | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy Spread 0.66 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 25.7 yrs Year 5 | Tetairoa McMillan: 23.6 yrs Year 2 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Steady | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy Best |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Cooling off | Tetairoa McMillan: Ceiling play Best |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Blue-chip Age 25.7 | Tetairoa McMillan: Cornerstone Age 23.6 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Every-week flex | Tetairoa McMillan: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
4,673
Tetairoa McMillan
5,486
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
#42
Down 12 in 30 days
Tetairoa McMillan
#32
BestPositional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
WR18
Tier 1
Tetairoa McMillan
WR15
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
-23.9%
Range 4,579 to 5,914
Tetairoa McMillan
-3.8%
BestRange 5,163 to 6,515
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
WR15 (2026)
BestBefore that: WR5, WR42
Tetairoa McMillan
WR16 (2026)
Before that: WR16
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Starter
Depth chart slot 2
Tetairoa McMillan
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Healthy
Tetairoa McMillan
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
131.9
10 games left
Tetairoa McMillan
150.0
Best11 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
13.2
Range 10.8 to 15.6
Tetairoa McMillan
13.6
BestRange 10.9 to 16.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
14.9
BestWeek 8 vs ARI
Tetairoa McMillan
14.9
Week 8 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Neutral
vs ARI, 1.00x
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Neutral
1.00x average
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
46%
Best38 graded games
Tetairoa McMillan
37%
23 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
100%
Tetairoa McMillan
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Steady
BestSpread 0.57
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
Spread 0.66
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
25.7 yrs
Year 5
Tetairoa McMillan
23.6 yrs
Year 2
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Steady
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
BestUpside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Cooling off
Tetairoa McMillan
Ceiling play
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Blue-chip
Age 25.7
Tetairoa McMillan
Cornerstone
Age 23.6
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Every-week flex
Tetairoa McMillan
Every-week flex
Higher upside
Tetairoa McMillan has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Tetairoa McMillan carries the strongest current value.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beat Rate | 16% | George Pickens | 0.8 |
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 11% | George Pickens | 0.4 |
#42
Down 12 in 30 days
Tetairoa McMillan: #32 |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: WR18 Tier 1 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR15 Tier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: -23.9% Range 4,579 to 5,914 | Tetairoa McMillan: -3.8% Range 5,163 to 6,515 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: WR15 (2026) Before that: WR5, WR42 | Tetairoa McMillan: WR16 (2026) Before that: WR16 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Starter Depth chart slot 2 | Tetairoa McMillan: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Healthy | Tetairoa McMillan: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 131.9 10 games left | Tetairoa McMillan: 150.0 11 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 13.2 Range 10.8 to 15.6 | Tetairoa McMillan: 13.6 BestRange 10.9 to 16.4 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 14.9 BestWeek 8 vs ARI | Tetairoa McMillan: 14.9 Week 8 vs GB |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens Even | George Pickens: Neutral vs ARI, 1.00x | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Neutral 1.00x average | Tetairoa McMillan: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: 46% Best38 graded games | Tetairoa McMillan: 37% 23 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 100% | Tetairoa McMillan: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | George Pickens: Steady BestSpread 0.57 | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy Spread 0.66 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: 25.7 yrs Year 5 | Tetairoa McMillan: 23.6 yrs Year 2 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Steady | Tetairoa McMillan: Swingy |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Cooling off | Tetairoa McMillan: Ceiling play |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Blue-chip Age 25.7 | Tetairoa McMillan: Cornerstone Age 23.6 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | George Pickens: Every-week flex | Tetairoa McMillan: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
4,673
Tetairoa McMillan
5,486
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
#42
Down 12 in 30 days
Tetairoa McMillan
#32
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
WR18
Tier 1
Tetairoa McMillan
WR15
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
-23.9%
Range 4,579 to 5,914
Tetairoa McMillan
-3.8%
Range 5,163 to 6,515
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
WR15 (2026)
Before that: WR5, WR42
Tetairoa McMillan
WR16 (2026)
Before that: WR16
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Starter
Depth chart slot 2
Tetairoa McMillan
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Healthy
Tetairoa McMillan
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
131.9
10 games left
Tetairoa McMillan
150.0
11 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
13.2
Range 10.8 to 15.6
Tetairoa McMillan
13.6
BestRange 10.9 to 16.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
14.9
BestWeek 8 vs ARI
Tetairoa McMillan
14.9
Week 8 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
George Pickens
Neutral
vs ARI, 1.00x
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Neutral
1.00x average
Tetairoa McMillan
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
46%
Best38 graded games
Tetairoa McMillan
37%
23 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
100%
Tetairoa McMillan
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
George Pickens
Steady
BestSpread 0.57
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
Spread 0.66
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
25.7 yrs
Year 5
Tetairoa McMillan
23.6 yrs
Year 2
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Steady
Tetairoa McMillan
Swingy
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Cooling off
Tetairoa McMillan
Ceiling play
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Blue-chip
Age 25.7
Tetairoa McMillan
Cornerstone
Age 23.6
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
George Pickens
Every-week flex
Tetairoa McMillan
Every-week flex
| Week | George Pickens | Opponent | Tetairoa McMillan | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 14.9 | ARI | 14.9 | GB |
| 9 | 13.2 | IND | 12.5 | DEN |
| 10 | 12.4 | SF | 13.8 | NO |
| 11 | 13.9 | TEN | 13.7 | BAL |
| 12 | 12.4 | PHI | 14.4 | TB |
| 13 | 12.2 | SEA | 12.4 | MIN |
| 14 | Bye | - | 13.8 | NO |
| 15 | 12.1 | LAR | 14.3 | CIN |
| 16 | 13.1 | JAX | 14.1 | PIT |
| 17 | 13.1 | NYG | 12.8 | SEA |
| 18 | 14.5 | WAS | 13.3 | ATL |
Tetairoa McMillanNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 8 | ARI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 9 | IND | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 10 | SF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 11 | TEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 12 | PHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 13 | SEA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 15 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 16 | JAX | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 17 | NYG | 1.00 | Neutral |
| George Pickens | 18 | WAS | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 8 | GB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 9 | DEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 10 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 11 | BAL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 12 | TB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 13 | MIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 14 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 15 | CIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 16 | PIT | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 17 | SEA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 18 | ATL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 120 | 150 | 180 |
| Player | Week | Projected | Actual | Difference |
|---|
| George Pickens | 1 | 15.6 | 5.8 | -9.8 |
| George Pickens | 2 | 15.7 | 10.0 | -5.7 |
| George Pickens | 3 | 14.9 | 15.2 | +0.3 |
| George Pickens | 4 | 14.7 | 9.5 | -5.2 |
| George Pickens | 5 | 13.9 | 28.0 | +14.1 |
| George Pickens | 6 | 13.7 | 13.3 | -0.4 |
| George Pickens | 7 | 11.5 | 15.7 | +4.2 |
| George Pickens | 8 | 14.5 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 9 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 10 | 12.1 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 11 | 13.5 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 12 | 12.0 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 13 | 11.9 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 15 | 11.8 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 16 | 12.7 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 17 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| George Pickens | 18 | 14.1 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 1 | 14.9 | 10.5 | -4.4 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 2 | 14.6 | 15.1 | +0.5 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 3 | 14.2 | 3.7 | -10.5 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 4 | 15.9 | 45.2 | +29.3 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 6 | 13.2 | 14.6 | +1.4 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 7 | 14.1 | 8.0 | -6.1 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 8 | 14.8 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 9 | 12.4 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 10 | 13.8 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 11 | 13.6 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 12 | 14.3 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 13 | 12.4 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 14 | 13.8 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 15 | 14.3 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 16 | 14.0 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 17 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 18 | 13.3 | Did not play | - |
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust | Did not play | Weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| Date | George Pickens | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | 4,673 | 5,486 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | 4,579 | 5,645 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 4,590 | 5,748 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 4,657 | 5,762 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4,673 | 6,068 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4,590 | 5,640 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4,708 | 5,804 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4,967 | 5,962 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5,049 | 6,073 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5,044 | 5,975 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4,992 | 5,883 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 4,976 | 5,860 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5,070 | 5,886 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5,028 | 6,021 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 5,069 | 6,151 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 4,946 | 6,329 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 5,140 | 6,433 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 4,972 | 6,515 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 4,964 | 6,504 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 5,036 | 6,359 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 5,135 | 6,198 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 5,135 | 6,056 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 5,423 | 5,571 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 5,540 | 5,163 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 5,862 | 5,280 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | 5,896 | 5,290 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 5,882 | 5,454 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 5,898 | 5,317 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 5,839 | 5,378 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5,914 | 5,490 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 6,142 | 5,701 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | 5,951 | 5,845 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 6,118 | 5,790 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 5,772 | 5,356 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 5,872 | 5,408 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 6,067 | 5,429 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5,597 | 5,305 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 6,355 | 5,317 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 6,477 | 5,119 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 6,316 | 4,731 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 6,214 | 4,949 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 6,361 | 5,101 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 6,322 | 4,952 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 6,703 | 5,168 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 6,831 | 5,037 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | 6,787 | 5,087 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 6,751 | 5,207 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 6,742 | 5,100 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 6,639 | 5,176 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 7,561 | 5,485 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 7,605 | 5,587 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 7,625 | 5,536 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 7,685 | 5,525 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 7,746 | 5,657 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 7,676 | 5,526 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 7,562 | 5,416 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 7,532 | 5,403 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 7,539 | 5,438 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 7,460 | 5,577 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 7,440 | 5,677 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 7,454 | 5,633 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 7,456 | 5,726 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 7,435 | 5,645 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 7,311 | 5,861 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 7,351 | 5,777 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 7,354 | 5,791 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 7,358 | 5,850 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 7,403 | 5,964 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 7,474 | 5,972 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 7,421 | 6,002 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 7,301 | 5,988 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 7,299 | 5,987 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 7,240 | 5,925 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 7,238 | 5,767 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 7,016 | 6,007 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 6,852 | 6,094 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 6,829 | 6,019 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 6,823 | 5,961 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 6,780 | 6,123 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 6,777 | 6,129 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 6,875 | 5,924 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 6,923 | 6,032 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 6,904 | 6,221 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 6,888 | 6,233 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 6,941 | 6,203 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 6,691 | 6,278 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 6,702 | 6,195 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 6,670 | 6,185 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 6,671 | 6,190 |
Redraft PPR SF TEP
Oct 26, 2026
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