Players
QB
WASBackup
WASBackupMarcus Mariota
Last 3 finishes(PPR)
2026
QB35
2025
QB32
2024
QB47
Team chant
Hail to the Commanders
Washington Commanders
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Players
WASBackupLast 3 finishes(PPR)
2026
QB35
2025
QB32
2024
QB47
Team chant
Hail to the Commanders
Washington Commanders
2026 Outlook
ProjectionsSleeper projected points, PPR scoring. Select a week for its full projected stat line.
2026 projection trend
actual overlays as games play
| Week | Opponent | Projected | Actual | Difference | 2025 actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | - | - | 8.7 | - | - |
| 3 | SEA | 12.8 | 20.4 | +7.7 | 20.3 |
| 4 | - | 0.0 | 5.3 | +5.3 | 17.2 |
| 5 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| 6 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| 8 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 13.3 |
| 9 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 0.0 |
| 10 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 18.7 |
| 11 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 16.4 |
| 12 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| 13 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 24.3 |
| 14 | - | 0.0 | - | - | -1.1 |
| 15 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 14.7 |
| 16 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 3.7 |
| 17 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| 18 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
2 of 4 weeks over
points per week
+160 (+1253%) vs 13 proj
How often each stat has hit its weekly projection in 2026, and the average gap.
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +1
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +3
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -5
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +2.3
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap -1.0
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -16
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -0.1
Production
Regular-season totals. PPR points shown for a consistent baseline.
| Season | G | Cmp/Att | Pass Yd | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yd | Rush TD | PPR | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 33/51 | 340 | 4 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 34.5 | 11.5 |
| 2025 | 11 | 139/227 | 1,695 | 10 | 7 | 297 | 1 | 132.5 | 12.0 |
| 2024 | 3 | 34/44 |
Game log
Week by week, earliest to latest. Choose a season to view actuals against projection.
The small number under each stat is that week's result versus its projection: green beat it, red came up short.
2026 actual vs projection
| Week | Opponent | Projected | Actual | Difference | 2025 actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DAL | - | 8.7 | - | - |
| 3 | SEA | 12.8 | 20.4 | +7.7 | 20.3 |
| 4 | IND | 0.0 | 5.3 | +5.3 | 17.2 |
2 of 4 weeks over
points per week
+22 (+171%) vs 13 proj
How often each stat hit its weekly projection in 2026, and the average gap.
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +1
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +3
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -5
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap +2.3
over in 1 of 1 weeks
avg gap -1.0
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -16
over in 0 of 1 weeks
avg gap -0.1
| Wk | Opp | Cmp/Att | Pass Yd | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yd | Rush TD | Snap% | PPR | Proj | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | - | - |
| 2 | DAL | 11/16 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 45% | 8.7 | - | - |
| 3 | SEA | 19/31+1+3 | 183-5 | 3+2.3 | 0-1.0 | 11-16 | 0-0.1 | 100% | 20.4 | 12.8 | +7.7 |
| 4 | IND | 3/4 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 16% | 5.3 | 0.0 | +5.3 |
| 5 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | Bye week | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 14 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 15 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 16 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 17 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 18 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 364 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 92 |
| 1 |
| 45.8 |
| 15.3 |
| 2023 | 3 | 15/23 | 164 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 0 | 12.8 | 4.3 |
|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 184/300 | 2,219 | 15 | 9 | 438 | 4 | 200.6 | 15.4 |
|---|
| 2021 | 10 | 1/2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 1 | 13.9 | 1.4 |
|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 17/28 | 226 | 1 | 1 | 88 | 1 | 26.8 | 26.8 |
|---|
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020