Players
QB
TBStarter
TBStarterBaker Mayfield
Last 3 finishes(PPR)
2026
QB33
2025
QB12
2024
QB4
Team chant
Fire the Cannons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Loading player data
Players
Loading this player page.
Players
Loading this player page.
Players
TBStarterLast 3 finishes(PPR)
2026
QB33
2025
QB12
2024
QB4
Team chant
Fire the Cannons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 Outlook
ProjectionsSleeper projected points, PPR scoring. Select a week for its full projected stat line.
2026 projection trend
actual overlays as games play
| Week | Opponent | Projected | Actual | Difference | 2025 actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 18.9 | 11.6 | -7.3 | 22.6 |
| 2 | CLE | 17.3 | 13.2 | -4.1 | 19.9 |
| 3 | MIN | 16.0 | 12.3 | -3.7 | 17.7 |
| 4 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 19.9 |
| 5 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 26.7 |
| 6 | - | 0.0 | - | - | 19.6 |
| 7 | CAR | 15.3 | 6.7 | -8.7 | 12.1 |
| 8 | ATL | 16.5 | - | - | 4.1 |
| 9 | CHI | 16.7 | - | - | - |
| 11 | DET | 18.8 | - | - | 17.8 |
| 12 | CAR | 14.8 | - | - | 5.5 |
| 13 | LAC | 15.7 | - | - | 14.5 |
| 14 | BAL | 15.1 | - | - | 12.1 |
| 15 | NO | 15.8 | - | - | 20.2 |
| 16 | ATL | 14.2 | - | - | 13.7 |
| 17 | LAR | 13.6 | - | - | 19.4 |
| 18 | NO | 15.8 | - | - | 14.2 |
0 of 4 weeks over
points per week
-39 (-17%) vs 225 proj
How often each stat has hit its weekly projection in 2026, and the average gap.
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -3
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -5
over in 1 of 4 weeks
avg gap -47
over in 0 of 4 weeks
avg gap -0.8
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -0.4
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -2
over in 1 of 4 weeks
avg gap +0.1
Production
Regular-season totals. PPR points shown for a consistent baseline.
| Season | G | Cmp/Att | Pass Yd | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yd | Rush TD | PPR | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 68/107 | 679 | 3 | 2 | 66 | 1 | 43.8 |
Game log
Week by week, earliest to latest. Choose a season to view actuals against projection.
The small number under each stat is that week's result versus its projection: green beat it, red came up short.
2026 actual vs projection
| Week | Opponent | Projected | Actual | Difference | 2025 actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 18.9 | 11.6 | -7.3 | 22.6 |
| 2 | CLE | 17.3 | 13.2 | -4.1 | 19.9 |
| 3 | MIN | 16.0 | 12.3 | -3.7 | 17.7 |
| 7 | CAR | 15.3 | 6.7 | -8.7 | 12.1 |
0 of 4 weeks over
points per week
-24 (-35%) vs 68 proj
How often each stat hit its weekly projection in 2026, and the average gap.
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -3
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -5
over in 1 of 4 weeks
avg gap -47
over in 0 of 4 weeks
avg gap -0.8
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -0.4
over in 2 of 4 weeks
avg gap -2
over in 1 of 4 weeks
avg gap +0.1
| Wk | Opp | Cmp/Att | Pass Yd | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yd | Rush TD | Snap% | PPR | Proj | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 23/28+2-4 | 216-18 | 0-2.1 | 0-1.1 | 30+14 | 1+0.9 | 100% | 11.6 | 18.9 | -7.3 |
| 2 | CLE | 21/34+1+3 | 182-35 | 1-0.8 | 1+0.3 | 29+14 | 0-0.1 | 100% | 13.2 | 17.3 | -4.1 |
| 3 | MIN | 17/34-3+4 | 217+4 | 1-0.5 | 1+0.3 | 6-11 | 0-0.1 | 94% | 12.3 | 16.0 | -3.7 |
| 7 | CAR | 7/11-13-21 | 64-140 | 10.0 | 0-1.0 | 1-26 | 0-0.3 | 90% | 6.7 | 15.3 | -8.7 |
| 4 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | -, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | ATL, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | CHI, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | Bye week | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | DET, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | CAR, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | LAC, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 14 | BAL, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 15 | NO, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 16 | ATL, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 17 | LAR, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 18 | NO, not played yet | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 343/543 | 3,693 | 26 | 11 | 382 | 1 | 282.9 | 16.6 |
|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 407/570 | 4,500 | 41 | 16 | 378 | 3 | 381.8 | 22.5 |
|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 364/566 | 4,044 | 28 | 10 | 163 | 1 | 284.1 | 16.7 |
|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 201/335 | 2,163 | 10 | 8 | 89 | 1 | 124.4 | 10.4 |
|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 253/418 | 3,010 | 17 | 13 | 134 | 1 | 187.9 | 13.4 |
|---|
| 2020 | 16 | 305/486 | 3,563 | 26 | 8 | 165 | 1 | 248.6 | 15.5 |
|---|
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020