Mike Evans or Garrett Wilson?
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartTools
Working out who to start.
Week 2
Real Week 2 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
WR
SF
14.0 projected points
Garrett Wilson
SitWR
NYJ
14.0 projected points
Start Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Parker Washington
StartWR
JAX
10.3 projected points
Rome Odunze
SitWR
CHI
10.3 projected points
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
StartK
HOU
7.6 projected points
Brandon Aubrey
SitK
DAL
7.6 projected points
Start Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Emeka Egbuka
StartWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Chris Godwin
SitWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Start Chris Olave. Olave projects 0.0 points clear of Zay Flowers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Flowers.
Chris Olave
StartWR
NO
16.0 projected points
Zay Flowers
SitWR
BAL
16.0 projected points
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Jalen Hurts
StartQB
PHI
21.9 projected points
Jayden Daniels
SitQB
WAS
21.9 projected points
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Jadarian Price
StartRB
SEA
11.7 projected points
Rhamondre Stevenson
SitRB
NE
11.6 projected points
Start Ladd McConkey. McConkey projects 0.0 points clear of Davante Adams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Adams.
Ladd McConkey
StartWR
LAC
12.4 projected points
Davante Adams
SitWR
LAR
12.3 projected points
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Josh Allen
StartQB
BUF
21.4 projected points
Brock Purdy
SitQB
SF
21.3 projected points
Start Brian Thomas. Thomas projects 0.0 points clear of Marvin Harrison in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Harrison.
Brian Thomas
StartWR
JAX
9.2 projected points
Marvin Harrison
SitWR
ARI
9.2 projected points
Start Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Kyle Pitts
StartTE
ATL
10.8 projected points
Dallas Goedert
SitTE
PHI
10.8 projected points
Start Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Indianapolis Colts
StartDEF
IND
5.2 projected points
Cleveland Browns
SitDEF
CLE
5.1 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Full breakdown: Hurts vs DanielsTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Put Allen and Purdy on the boardStart Caleb Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Patrick Mahomes in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Mahomes.
Check Williams against MahomesWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Full breakdown: Price vs StevensonStart Javonte Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Chase Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
Put Williams and Brown on the boardStart Chase Brown. Brown projects 0.1 points clear of Kenneth Walker in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Walker.
Check Brown against WalkerStart Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Full breakdown: Evans vs WilsonStart Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Put Washington and Odunze on the boardStart Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Check Egbuka against GodwinStart Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Full breakdown: Pitts vs GoedertStart George Kittle. Kittle projects 0.1 points clear of Colston Loveland in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Loveland.
Put Kittle and Loveland on the boardStart Dallas Goedert. Goedert projects 0.1 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Check Goedert against LaPortaDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Full breakdown: Fairbairn vs AubreyStart Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Put Colts and Browns on the boardStart Cam Little. Little projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Check Little against BatesWeek 2, 2026. Projections updated Sep 11, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
WR
SF
opponent (MIA)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.0
Floor 6.3,Ceiling 21.7
Matchup
Sit this player
WR
NYJ
opponent (GB)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.0
Start this player
WR
SF
opponent (MIA)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.0
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 25 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Mike Evans 50 percent, Garrett Wilson 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Garrett Wilson holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Garrett Wilson 59%, Mike Evans 41%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Garrett Wilson holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Garrett Wilson 59%, Mike Evans 41%.
Game environment
Beat rate
33%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 1 week, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 1 of 1 graded week.
| Week | 1 |
|---|---|
| Scored | 16.9 |
| Projected | 12.8 |
Value (FF Beacon)
4,138
Overall rank
#61
Floor 6.1,Ceiling 21.9
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
34%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
5,363
Overall rank
#40
Floor 6.3,Ceiling 21.7
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
33%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Last 1 week, 2026
Met or beat the projection in 1 of 1 graded week.
| Week | 1 |
|---|---|
| Scored | 16.9 |
| Projected | 12.8 |
Value (FF Beacon)
4,138
Overall rank
#61
Sit this player
WR
NYJ
opponent (GB)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR14.0
Floor 6.1,Ceiling 21.9
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
34%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
5,363
Overall rank
#40
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson (leader) | 59% |
| Mike Evans | 41% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Mike Evans or Garrett Wilson, in percentage points. Totals: Mike Evans 3.0 points, Garrett Wilson 11.9 points, for a final split of 41 to 59.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Garrett Wilson by 1.8 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Mike Evans by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Mike Evans by 2.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Mike Evans by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.9 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Risk Level
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Risk Level: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.7 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Age & Long-Term Appeal: favors Garrett Wilson by 7.8 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Totals: Mike Evans 3.0 points, Garrett Wilson 11.9 points, for a final split of 41 to 59. 6 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Garrett Wilson | 1.8 |
| Upside | 10% | Mike Evans | 0.2 |
| Recent Production | 5% | Mike Evans | 2.4 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Mike Evans | 0.4 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Garrett Wilson | 0.9 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Garrett Wilson | 0.6 |
| Risk Level | 5% | Garrett Wilson | 0.7 |
| Category | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: 5,363 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: #61 Up 30 in 30 days | Garrett Wilson: #40 BestDown 4 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: WR26 Tier 1 | Garrett Wilson: WR18 BestTier 1 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: +28.0% BestRange 3,159 to 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: -0.0% Range 5,098 to 5,435 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: WR3 (2026) BestBefore that: WR75, WR14 | Garrett Wilson: WR62 (2025) Before that: WR10, WR26 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Garrett Wilson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Healthy | Garrett Wilson: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 203.8 16 games left | Garrett Wilson: 215.9 Best16 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 12.7 Range 11.0 to 14.5 | Garrett Wilson: 13.5 BestRange 11.6 to 15.4 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 14.0 Week 2 vs MIA | Garrett Wilson: 14.0 Week 2 vs GB |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Neutral vs MIA, 1.00x | Garrett Wilson: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Neutral 1.00x average | Garrett Wilson: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 33% 27 graded games | Garrett Wilson: 34% Best29 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: 100% | Garrett Wilson: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Steady BestSpread 0.55 | Garrett Wilson: Steady Spread 0.56 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 33.1 yrs Year 13 | Garrett Wilson: 26.1 yrs BestYear 5 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Steady | Garrett Wilson: Steady Best |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Trending up Best | Garrett Wilson: Known quantity |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Win-now asset Age 33.1 | Garrett Wilson: Blue-chip Age 26.1 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Weekly starter | Garrett Wilson: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
4,138
Garrett Wilson
5,363
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
#61
Up 30 in 30 days
Garrett Wilson
#40
BestThe plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Garrett Wilson takes 59% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Garrett Wilson leads on ff beacon value and age & long-term appeal.
Safer floor
Mike Evans is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Mike Evans has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Garrett Wilson carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Mike Evans 51%, Garrett Wilson 49%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Mike Evans 51%, Garrett Wilson 49%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 51% |
| Garrett Wilson | 49% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Mike Evans or Garrett Wilson, in percentage points. Totals: Mike Evans 3.8 points, Garrett Wilson 2.6 points, for a final split of 51 to 49.
Rest-of-Season Points
Weighted at 20% of this lens
Rest-of-Season Points: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 20 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Mike Evans by 3.8 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Garrett Wilson by 1.2 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
| Category | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: 5,363 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for the rest of this season.
Safer floor
Mike Evans is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Garrett Wilson 50%, Mike Evans 50%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Garrett Wilson 50%, Mike Evans 50%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 50% |
| Mike Evans | 50% |
| Category | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: 5,363 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: #61 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for this week.
Safer floor
Mike Evans is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Mike Evans
Range 176 to 232 points. Schedule: neutral.
Garrett Wilson
Range 186 to 246 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 2 to week 18. Mike Evans totals 204 points, Garrett Wilson totals 216 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Mike Evans has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Garrett Wilson has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Mike EvansNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Mike Evans projects for 204 points, in a range from 176 to 232. Garrett Wilson projects for 216 points, in a range from 186 to 246.
Mike Evans
176 to 232 pts
Garrett Wilson
186 to 246 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 176 | 204 | 232 |
| Garrett Wilson | 186 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Mike Evans
From 27 graded games across 27 projected weeks.
Garrett Wilson
From 29 graded games across 29 projected weeks.
One mark per graded game in the 2026 season, placed by how far above or below projection the player finished. A tight cluster near the middle line is a player you can set and forget. The tiles above cover every season we have graded, so their game counts are higher.
Mike Evans finished above projection in 1 of 1 graded games, averaging plus 4.1 points.
| Player | Week | Projected | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 1 | 12.8 | 16.9 | +4.1 |
| Mike Evans | 2 | 13.8 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 3 | 12.9 |
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Mike Evans: 1 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 16 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Garrett Wilson: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Mike Evans
Boom 1, Did not play 16
Garrett Wilson
Did not play 17
| Player | Boom |
|---|
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Mike Evans
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 30 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 202.7.
Mike Evans is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Garrett Wilson
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 4 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 92.8.
Garrett Wilson is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Mike Evans went from 3,083 to 4,138, up 1,055. Garrett Wilson went from 5,509 to 5,363, down 146
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Dynasty PPR 1QB TEP
Sep 7, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 1 Best | - |
| Total yards | 49 Best | - |
| Scrimmage yards | 49 Best | - |
| Total TDs | 1 Best | - |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 16.9 Best | - |
| PPR per game | 16.9 Best | - |
Receiving
| Stat | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7 Best | - |
| Receptions | 6 Best | - |
| Catch % | 85.7% Best | - |
| Receiving yards | 49 Best | - |
| Receiving TDs | 1 Best | - |
| Yards / catch | 8.2 Best | - |
| Yards / target | 7.0 Best | - |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 49 Bestvs LAR | - |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade Calculator| Age & Long-Term Appeal | 16% | Garrett Wilson | 7.8 |
Down 4 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
WR26
Tier 1
Garrett Wilson
WR18
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
+28.0%
BestRange 3,159 to 4,138
Garrett Wilson
-0.0%
Range 5,098 to 5,435
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
WR3 (2026)
BestBefore that: WR75, WR14
Garrett Wilson
WR62 (2025)
Before that: WR10, WR26
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Garrett Wilson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Healthy
Garrett Wilson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
203.8
16 games left
Garrett Wilson
215.9
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
12.7
Range 11.0 to 14.5
Garrett Wilson
13.5
BestRange 11.6 to 15.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
14.0
Week 2 vs MIA
Garrett Wilson
14.0
Week 2 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Neutral
vs MIA, 1.00x
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Neutral
1.00x average
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
33%
27 graded games
Garrett Wilson
34%
Best29 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
100%
Garrett Wilson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Steady
BestSpread 0.55
Garrett Wilson
Steady
Spread 0.56
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
33.1 yrs
Year 13
Garrett Wilson
26.1 yrs
BestYear 5
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Steady
Garrett Wilson
Steady
BestUpside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Trending up
BestGarrett Wilson
Known quantity
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Win-now asset
Age 33.1
Garrett Wilson
Blue-chip
Age 26.1
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Weekly starter
Garrett Wilson
Every-week flex
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 7% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Risk Level
Weighted at 2% of this lens
Risk Level: favors Garrett Wilson by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 2 percent of the weight.
Totals: Mike Evans 3.8 points, Garrett Wilson 2.6 points, for a final split of 51 to 49. 10 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points | 20% | Garrett Wilson | 0.3 |
| Recent Production | 8% | Mike Evans | 3.8 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Garrett Wilson | 1.2 |
| FF Beacon Value | 7% | Garrett Wilson | 0.4 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Garrett Wilson | 0.5 |
| Risk Level | 2% | Garrett Wilson | 0.2 |
Mike Evans: #61 Up 30 in 30 days |
Garrett Wilson: #40 BestDown 4 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: WR26 Tier 1 | Garrett Wilson: WR18 BestTier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: +28.0% BestRange 3,159 to 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: -0.0% Range 5,098 to 5,435 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: WR3 (2026) BestBefore that: WR75, WR14 | Garrett Wilson: WR62 (2025) Before that: WR10, WR26 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Garrett Wilson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Healthy | Garrett Wilson: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 203.8 16 games left | Garrett Wilson: 215.9 Best16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 12.7 Range 11.0 to 14.5 | Garrett Wilson: 13.5 BestRange 11.6 to 15.4 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 14.0 BestWeek 2 vs MIA | Garrett Wilson: 14.0 Week 2 vs GB |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Neutral vs MIA, 1.00x | Garrett Wilson: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Neutral 1.00x average | Garrett Wilson: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 33% 27 graded games | Garrett Wilson: 34% Best29 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: 100% | Garrett Wilson: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Steady BestSpread 0.55 | Garrett Wilson: Steady Spread 0.56 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 33.1 yrs Year 13 | Garrett Wilson: 26.1 yrs Year 5 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Steady | Garrett Wilson: Steady Best |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Trending up Best | Garrett Wilson: Known quantity |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Win-now asset Age 33.1 | Garrett Wilson: Blue-chip Age 26.1 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Weekly starter | Garrett Wilson: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
4,138
Garrett Wilson
5,363
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
#61
Up 30 in 30 days
Garrett Wilson
#40
BestDown 4 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
WR26
Tier 1
Garrett Wilson
WR18
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
+28.0%
BestRange 3,159 to 4,138
Garrett Wilson
-0.0%
Range 5,098 to 5,435
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
WR3 (2026)
BestBefore that: WR75, WR14
Garrett Wilson
WR62 (2025)
Before that: WR10, WR26
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Garrett Wilson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Healthy
Garrett Wilson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
203.8
16 games left
Garrett Wilson
215.9
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
12.7
Range 11.0 to 14.5
Garrett Wilson
13.5
BestRange 11.6 to 15.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
14.0
BestWeek 2 vs MIA
Garrett Wilson
14.0
Week 2 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Neutral
vs MIA, 1.00x
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Neutral
1.00x average
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
33%
27 graded games
Garrett Wilson
34%
Best29 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
100%
Garrett Wilson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Steady
BestSpread 0.55
Garrett Wilson
Steady
Spread 0.56
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
33.1 yrs
Year 13
Garrett Wilson
26.1 yrs
Year 5
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Steady
Garrett Wilson
Steady
BestUpside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Trending up
BestGarrett Wilson
Known quantity
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Win-now asset
Age 33.1
Garrett Wilson
Blue-chip
Age 26.1
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Weekly starter
Garrett Wilson
Every-week flex
Higher upside
Mike Evans has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Garrett Wilson carries the strongest current value.
Up 30 in 30 days
Garrett Wilson: #40 Down 4 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: WR26 Tier 1 | Garrett Wilson: WR18 Tier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: +28.0% Range 3,159 to 4,138 | Garrett Wilson: -0.0% Range 5,098 to 5,435 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: WR3 (2026) Before that: WR75, WR14 | Garrett Wilson: WR62 (2025) Before that: WR10, WR26 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Garrett Wilson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Healthy | Garrett Wilson: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 203.8 16 games left | Garrett Wilson: 215.9 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 12.7 Range 11.0 to 14.5 | Garrett Wilson: 13.5 BestRange 11.6 to 15.4 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 14.0 BestWeek 2 vs MIA | Garrett Wilson: 14.0 Week 2 vs GB |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Mike Evans: Neutral vs MIA, 1.00x | Garrett Wilson: Neutral vs GB, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Neutral 1.00x average | Garrett Wilson: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: 33% 27 graded games | Garrett Wilson: 34% Best29 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 100% | Garrett Wilson: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Mike Evans: Steady BestSpread 0.55 | Garrett Wilson: Steady Spread 0.56 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: 33.1 yrs Year 13 | Garrett Wilson: 26.1 yrs Year 5 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Steady | Garrett Wilson: Steady |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Trending up | Garrett Wilson: Known quantity |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Win-now asset Age 33.1 | Garrett Wilson: Blue-chip Age 26.1 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Mike Evans: Weekly starter | Garrett Wilson: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
4,138
Garrett Wilson
5,363
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
#61
Up 30 in 30 days
Garrett Wilson
#40
Down 4 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
WR26
Tier 1
Garrett Wilson
WR18
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
+28.0%
Range 3,159 to 4,138
Garrett Wilson
-0.0%
Range 5,098 to 5,435
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
WR3 (2026)
Before that: WR75, WR14
Garrett Wilson
WR62 (2025)
Before that: WR10, WR26
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Garrett Wilson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Healthy
Garrett Wilson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
203.8
16 games left
Garrett Wilson
215.9
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
12.7
Range 11.0 to 14.5
Garrett Wilson
13.5
BestRange 11.6 to 15.4
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
14.0
BestWeek 2 vs MIA
Garrett Wilson
14.0
Week 2 vs GB
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Mike Evans
Neutral
vs MIA, 1.00x
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
vs GB, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Neutral
1.00x average
Garrett Wilson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
33%
27 graded games
Garrett Wilson
34%
Best29 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
100%
Garrett Wilson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Mike Evans
Steady
BestSpread 0.55
Garrett Wilson
Steady
Spread 0.56
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
33.1 yrs
Year 13
Garrett Wilson
26.1 yrs
Year 5
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Steady
Garrett Wilson
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Trending up
Garrett Wilson
Known quantity
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Win-now asset
Age 33.1
Garrett Wilson
Blue-chip
Age 26.1
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Mike Evans
Weekly starter
Garrett Wilson
Every-week flex
| Week | Mike Evans | Opponent | Garrett Wilson | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14.0 | MIA | 14.0 | GB |
| 3 | 13.1 | ARI | 13.6 | DET |
| 4 | 11.1 | DEN | 14.9 | CHI |
| 5 | 11.7 | SEA | 13.6 | CLE |
| 6 | 14.8 | WAS | 14.2 | NE |
| 7 | 13.0 | ATL | 14.8 | MIA |
| 8 | Bye | - | 13.4 | LV |
| 9 | 12.9 | LV | 13.2 | KC |
| 10 | 14.7 | DAL | 12.7 | BUF |
| 11 | 12.3 | MIN | 12.3 | LAC |
| 12 | 11.7 | SEA | 14.8 | MIA |
| 13 | 12.4 | NYG | Bye | - |
| 14 | 13.1 | LAR | 11.3 | DEN |
| 15 | 11.9 | LAC | 13.7 | ARI |
| 16 | 12.7 | KC | 14.2 | NE |
| 17 | 11.5 | PHI | 12.7 | MIN |
| 18 | 13.1 | ARI | 12.7 | BUF |
Garrett WilsonNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 2 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 3 | ARI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 4 | DEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 5 | SEA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 6 | WAS | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 7 | ATL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 9 | LV | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 10 | DAL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 11 | MIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 12 | SEA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 13 | NYG | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 14 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 15 | LAC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 16 | KC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 17 | PHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Mike Evans | 18 | ARI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 2 | GB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 3 | DET | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 4 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 5 | CLE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 6 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 7 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 8 | LV | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 9 | KC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 10 | BUF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 11 | LAC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 12 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 14 | DEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 15 | ARI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 16 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 17 | MIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Garrett Wilson | 18 | BUF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| 216 |
| 246 |
| Did not play |
| - |
| Mike Evans | 4 | 10.9 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 5 | 11.5 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 6 | 14.5 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 7 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 9 | 12.7 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 10 | 14.5 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 11 | 12.1 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 12 | 11.5 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 13 | 12.3 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 14 | 12.9 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 15 | 11.8 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 16 | 12.5 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 17 | 11.3 | Did not play | - |
| Mike Evans | 18 | 12.9 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 1 | 14.8 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 2 | 14.1 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 3 | 13.7 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 4 | 15.1 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 5 | 13.7 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 6 | 14.3 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 7 | 14.9 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 8 | 13.5 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 9 | 13.3 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 10 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 11 | 12.4 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 12 | 14.9 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 14 | 11.4 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 15 | 13.8 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 16 | 14.3 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 17 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 18 | 12.8 | Did not play | - |
| About right |
|---|
| Bust |
|---|
| Did not play |
|---|
| Weeks |
|---|
| Mike Evans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 |
| Garrett Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Date | Mike Evans | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | 4,138 | 5,363 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 3,838 | 5,360 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 3,394 | 5,303 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 3,333 | 5,295 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 3,387 | 5,301 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 3,348 | 5,384 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 3,349 | 5,429 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 3,346 | 5,351 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 3,462 | 5,340 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 3,446 | 5,314 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 3,233 | 5,363 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 3,161 | 5,419 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 3,198 | 5,435 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 3,202 | 5,371 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 3,259 | 5,407 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 3,189 | 5,309 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 3,199 | 5,202 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 3,244 | 5,259 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 3,222 | 5,192 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 3,159 | 5,224 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 3,227 | 5,164 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 3,255 | 5,157 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 3,269 | 5,098 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 3,279 | 5,164 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 3,316 | 5,265 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 3,270 | 5,180 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 3,176 | 5,255 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 3,205 | 5,416 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 3,203 | 5,354 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 3,232 | 5,364 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 3,242 | 5,382 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 3,264 | 5,381 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 3,360 | 5,371 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 3,386 | 5,378 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 3,391 | 5,335 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 3,295 | 5,298 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 3,325 | 5,253 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 3,228 | 5,241 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3,216 | 5,270 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 3,244 | 5,256 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 3,229 | 5,296 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 3,193 | 5,267 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3,221 | 5,276 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3,217 | 5,272 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 3,264 | 5,342 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 3,249 | 5,259 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 3,183 | 5,286 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 3,113 | 5,271 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 3,116 | 5,274 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 3,098 | 5,273 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 3,078 | 5,265 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 3,056 | 5,314 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 3,039 | 5,315 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 3,042 | 5,312 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 3,087 | 5,322 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 3,076 | 5,326 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 3,065 | 5,340 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 3,059 | 5,344 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 3,086 | 5,373 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 3,122 | 5,361 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 3,147 | 5,364 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 3,144 | 5,449 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 3,143 | 5,417 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 3,153 | 5,427 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 3,152 | 5,404 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 3,143 | 5,384 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 3,092 | 5,394 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 3,152 | 5,430 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3,155 | 5,436 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 3,236 | 5,405 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 3,236 | 5,388 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 3,253 | 5,392 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 3,153 | 5,419 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3,174 | 5,373 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 3,264 | 5,374 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 3,152 | 5,437 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 3,160 | 5,408 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 3,133 | 5,412 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 3,104 | 5,459 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 3,118 | 5,443 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 3,111 | 5,474 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 3,057 | 5,489 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 3,053 | 5,511 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 3,117 | 5,501 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 3,112 | 5,512 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 3,132 | 5,499 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 3,099 | 5,516 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 3,091 | 5,491 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | 3,129 | 5,479 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3,083 | 5,509 |
Dynasty PPR SF
Sep 6, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 28, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF
Sep 2, 2026
Redraft PPR SF
Aug 29, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 29, 2026