Mike Evans or Garrett Wilson?
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartTools
Working out who to start.
Week 2
Real Week 2 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
WR
SF
14.0 projected points
Garrett Wilson
SitWR
NYJ
14.0 projected points
Start Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Parker Washington
StartWR
JAX
10.3 projected points
Rome Odunze
SitWR
CHI
10.3 projected points
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
StartK
HOU
7.6 projected points
Brandon Aubrey
SitK
DAL
7.6 projected points
Start Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Emeka Egbuka
StartWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Chris Godwin
SitWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Start Chris Olave. Olave projects 0.0 points clear of Zay Flowers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Flowers.
Chris Olave
StartWR
NO
16.0 projected points
Zay Flowers
SitWR
BAL
16.0 projected points
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Jalen Hurts
StartQB
PHI
21.9 projected points
Jayden Daniels
SitQB
WAS
21.9 projected points
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Jadarian Price
StartRB
SEA
11.7 projected points
Rhamondre Stevenson
SitRB
NE
11.6 projected points
Start Ladd McConkey. McConkey projects 0.0 points clear of Davante Adams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Adams.
Ladd McConkey
StartWR
LAC
12.4 projected points
Davante Adams
SitWR
LAR
12.3 projected points
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Josh Allen
StartQB
BUF
21.4 projected points
Brock Purdy
SitQB
SF
21.3 projected points
Start Brian Thomas. Thomas projects 0.0 points clear of Marvin Harrison in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Harrison.
Brian Thomas
StartWR
JAX
9.2 projected points
Marvin Harrison
SitWR
ARI
9.2 projected points
Start Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Kyle Pitts
StartTE
ATL
10.8 projected points
Dallas Goedert
SitTE
PHI
10.8 projected points
Start Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Indianapolis Colts
StartDEF
IND
5.2 projected points
Cleveland Browns
SitDEF
CLE
5.1 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Full breakdown: Hurts vs DanielsTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Put Allen and Purdy on the boardStart Caleb Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Patrick Mahomes in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Mahomes.
Check Williams against MahomesWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Full breakdown: Price vs StevensonStart Javonte Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Chase Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
Put Williams and Brown on the boardStart Chase Brown. Brown projects 0.1 points clear of Kenneth Walker in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Walker.
Check Brown against WalkerStart Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Full breakdown: Evans vs WilsonStart Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Put Washington and Odunze on the boardStart Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Check Egbuka against GodwinStart Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Full breakdown: Pitts vs GoedertStart George Kittle. Kittle projects 0.1 points clear of Colston Loveland in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Loveland.
Put Kittle and Loveland on the boardStart Dallas Goedert. Goedert projects 0.1 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Check Goedert against LaPortaDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Full breakdown: Fairbairn vs AubreyStart Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Put Colts and Browns on the boardStart Cam Little. Little projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Check Little against BatesWeek 2, 2026. Projections updated Sep 11, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
TE
ATL
opponent (CAR)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR10.8
Floor 2.0,Ceiling 19.6
Matchup
Sit this player
TE
PHI
opponent (TEN)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR10.8
Start this player
TE
ATL
opponent (CAR)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR10.8
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 20 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Kyle Pitts 50 percent, Dallas Goedert 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Kyle Pitts holds a strong edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Kyle Pitts 63%, Dallas Goedert 37%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Kyle Pitts holds a strong edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Kyle Pitts 63%, Dallas Goedert 37%.
Game environment
Beat rate
42%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
3,650
Overall rank
#77
Floor 3.8,Ceiling 17.7
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
56%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
2,864
Overall rank
#113
Floor 2.0,Ceiling 19.6
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
42%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
3,650
Overall rank
#77
Sit this player
TE
PHI
opponent (TEN)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR10.8
Floor 3.8,Ceiling 17.7
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
56%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
2,864
Overall rank
#113
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts (leader) | 63% |
| Dallas Goedert | 37% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Kyle Pitts or Dallas Goedert, in percentage points. Totals: Kyle Pitts 12.8 points, Dallas Goedert 0.3 points, for a final split of 63 to 37.
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Age & Long-Term Appeal: favors Kyle Pitts by 7.8 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Kyle Pitts by 1.7 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Kyle Pitts by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Kyle Pitts by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Kyle Pitts by 1.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Dallas Goedert by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Totals: Kyle Pitts 12.8 points, Dallas Goedert 0.3 points, for a final split of 63 to 37. 8 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal | 16% | Kyle Pitts | 7.8 |
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Kyle Pitts | 1.7 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Kyle Pitts | 0.8 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Kyle Pitts | 1.0 |
| Recent Production | 5% | Kyle Pitts | 1.4 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Dallas Goedert | 0.3 |
| Category | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 3,650 Best | Dallas Goedert: 2,864 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: #77 BestDown 12 in 30 days | Dallas Goedert: #113 Up 11 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: TE7 BestTier 2 | Dallas Goedert: TE13 Tier 2 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: -10.3% Range 3,528 to 4,215 | Dallas Goedert: +5.4% BestRange 2,650 to 2,864 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: TE2 (2025) BestBefore that: TE15, TE13 | Dallas Goedert: TE7 (2025) Before that: TE28, TE14 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Kyle Pitts: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Dallas Goedert: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Healthy | Dallas Goedert: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 177.8 Best16 games left | Dallas Goedert: 161.0 16 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 11.1 BestRange 8.8 to 13.4 | Dallas Goedert: 10.1 Range 8.4 to 11.7 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 10.8 Week 2 vs CAR | Dallas Goedert: 10.8 Week 2 vs TEN |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Neutral vs CAR, 1.01x | Dallas Goedert: Neutral vs TEN, 1.00x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Neutral 1.00x average | Dallas Goedert: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 42% 45 graded games | Dallas Goedert: 56% Best34 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Kyle Pitts: 100% | Dallas Goedert: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Swingy Spread 0.82 | Dallas Goedert: Steady BestSpread 0.64 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 25.9 yrs BestYear 6 | Dallas Goedert: 31.7 yrs Year 9 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Swingy Best | Dallas Goedert: Steady |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Cooling off Best | Dallas Goedert: Trending up |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Blue-chip Age 25.9 | Dallas Goedert: Win-now asset Age 31.7 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Weekly starter | Dallas Goedert: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
3,650
BestDallas Goedert
2,864
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
#77
BestDown 12 in 30 days
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Kyle Pitts takes 63% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Kyle Pitts leads on age & long-term appeal and ff beacon value.
Safer floor
Dallas Goedert is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Kyle Pitts has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Kyle Pitts carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
Kyle Pitts holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Kyle Pitts 54%, Dallas Goedert 46%.
Averaged across 16 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Kyle Pitts holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Kyle Pitts 54%, Dallas Goedert 46%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts (leader) | 54% |
| Dallas Goedert | 46% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Kyle Pitts or Dallas Goedert, in percentage points. Totals: Kyle Pitts 5.3 points, Dallas Goedert 0.9 points, for a final split of 54 to 46.
Rest-of-Season Points
Weighted at 20% of this lens
Rest-of-Season Points: favors Kyle Pitts by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 20 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Kyle Pitts by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Kyle Pitts by 2.3 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
| Category | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 3,650 Best | Dallas Goedert: 2,864 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Kyle Pitts takes 54% of the composite for the rest of this season.
What is driving it
Kyle Pitts leads on rest-of-season points and overall rank.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Dallas Goedert 52%, Kyle Pitts 48%.
These players grade out nearly even across every category we can measure. The edge is small enough that your roster needs should decide it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
The Beacon Edge is a toss-up among the top players, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Dallas Goedert 52%, Kyle Pitts 48%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert | 52% |
| Kyle Pitts | 48% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Kyle Pitts or Dallas Goedert, in percentage points. Totals: Kyle Pitts 0.0 points, Dallas Goedert 1.8 points, for a final split of 48 to 52.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Dallas Goedert by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 11% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors Dallas Goedert by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 11 percent of the weight.
Totals: Kyle Pitts 0.0 points, Dallas Goedert 1.8 points, for a final split of 48 to 52. 4 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 3,650 | Dallas Goedert: 2,864 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: #77 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
This group grades out nearly even for this week.
Safer floor
Dallas Goedert is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Kyle Pitts
Range 141 to 214 points. Schedule: neutral.
Dallas Goedert
Range 135 to 187 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 2 to week 18. Kyle Pitts totals 178 points, Dallas Goedert totals 161 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Kyle Pitts has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Dallas Goedert has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Kyle PittsNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Kyle Pitts projects for 178 points, in a range from 141 to 214. Dallas Goedert projects for 161 points, in a range from 135 to 187.
Kyle Pitts
141 to 214 pts
Dallas Goedert
135 to 187 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 141 | 178 | 214 |
| Dallas Goedert | 135 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Kyle Pitts
From 45 graded games across 45 projected weeks.
Dallas Goedert
From 34 graded games across 34 projected weeks.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Kyle Pitts: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Dallas Goedert: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Kyle Pitts
Did not play 17
Dallas Goedert
Did not play 17
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust |
|---|
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Kyle Pitts
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 12 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 135.4.
Kyle Pitts is going roughly 0.8 round earlier than our ranking suggests. You are paying up.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Dallas Goedert
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 11 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 47.8.
Dallas Goedert is going roughly 0.6 round later than our ranking suggests. That is a buying window.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Kyle Pitts went from 3,936 to 3,650, down 286. Dallas Goedert went from 2,540 to 2,864, up 324
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Redraft 1QB PPR
Sep 9, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 Best | 15 |
| Total yards | 928 Best | 591 |
| Scrimmage yards | 928 Best | 591 |
| Total TDs | 5 | 11 Best |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 210.8 Best | 185.1 |
| PPR per game | 12.4 Best | 12.3 |
Receiving
| Stat | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 118 Best | 82 |
| Receptions | 88 Best | 60 |
| Catch % | 74.6% Best | 73.2% |
| Receiving yards | 928 Best | 591 |
| Receiving TDs | 5 | 11 Best |
| Yards / catch | 10.5 Best | 9.8 |
| Yards / target | 7.9 Best | 7.2 |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 59 Bestvs TB | 44 vs DAL |
| Wk 2 | 37 Bestvs MIN | - |
| Wk 3 | 39 Bestvs CAR | 33 vs LAR |
| Wk 4 | 70 Bestvs WAS | 37 vs TB |
| Wk 5 | - | 19 Bestvs DEN |
| Wk 6 | 18 vs BUF | 110 Bestvs NYG |
| Wk 7 | 62 Bestvs SF | 18 vs MIN |
| Wk 8 | 59 Bestvs MIA | 28 vs NYG |
| Wk 9 | 38 Bestvs NE | - |
| Wk 10 | 38 vs IND | 43 Bestvs GB |
| Wk 11 | 14 vs CAR | 24 Bestvs DET |
| Wk 12 | 25 Bestvs NO | 20 vs DAL |
| Wk 13 | 82 Bestvs NYJ | 27 vs CHI |
| Wk 14 | 90 Bestvs SEA | 78 vs LAC |
| Wk 15 | 166 Bestvs TB | 70 vs LV |
| Wk 16 | 57 Bestvs ARI | 32 vs WAS |
| Wk 17 | 16 Bestvs LAR | 8 vs BUF |
| Wk 18 | 58 Bestvs NO | - |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade CalculatorDallas Goedert
#113
Up 11 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
TE7
BestTier 2
Dallas Goedert
TE13
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
-10.3%
Range 3,528 to 4,215
Dallas Goedert
+5.4%
BestRange 2,650 to 2,864
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
TE2 (2025)
BestBefore that: TE15, TE13
Dallas Goedert
TE7 (2025)
Before that: TE28, TE14
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Kyle Pitts
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Dallas Goedert
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Healthy
Dallas Goedert
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
177.8
Best16 games left
Dallas Goedert
161.0
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
11.1
BestRange 8.8 to 13.4
Dallas Goedert
10.1
Range 8.4 to 11.7
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
10.8
Week 2 vs CAR
Dallas Goedert
10.8
Week 2 vs TEN
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
vs CAR, 1.01x
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
vs TEN, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
1.00x average
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
42%
45 graded games
Dallas Goedert
56%
Best34 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Kyle Pitts
100%
Dallas Goedert
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
Spread 0.82
Dallas Goedert
Steady
BestSpread 0.64
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
25.9 yrs
BestYear 6
Dallas Goedert
31.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
BestDallas Goedert
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Cooling off
BestDallas Goedert
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Blue-chip
Age 25.9
Dallas Goedert
Win-now asset
Age 31.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Weekly starter
Dallas Goedert
Every-week flex
Projected Per Game
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Projected Per Game: favors Kyle Pitts by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 7% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Kyle Pitts by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Dallas Goedert by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Kyle Pitts by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors Dallas Goedert by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Totals: Kyle Pitts 5.3 points, Dallas Goedert 0.9 points, for a final split of 54 to 46. 8 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points | 20% | Kyle Pitts | 0.5 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Kyle Pitts | 1.1 |
| Recent Production | 8% | Kyle Pitts | 2.3 |
| Projected Per Game | 8% | Kyle Pitts | 0.2 |
| FF Beacon Value | 7% | Kyle Pitts | 0.4 |
| Beat Rate | 8% | Dallas Goedert | 0.6 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Kyle Pitts | 0.8 |
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 5% | Dallas Goedert | 0.3 |
Kyle Pitts: #77 BestDown 12 in 30 days |
Dallas Goedert: #113 Up 11 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: TE7 BestTier 2 | Dallas Goedert: TE13 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: -10.3% Range 3,528 to 4,215 | Dallas Goedert: +5.4% BestRange 2,650 to 2,864 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: TE2 (2025) BestBefore that: TE15, TE13 | Dallas Goedert: TE7 (2025) Before that: TE28, TE14 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Kyle Pitts: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Dallas Goedert: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Healthy | Dallas Goedert: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 177.8 Best16 games left | Dallas Goedert: 161.0 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 11.1 BestRange 8.8 to 13.4 | Dallas Goedert: 10.1 Range 8.4 to 11.7 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 10.8 BestWeek 2 vs CAR | Dallas Goedert: 10.8 Week 2 vs TEN |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Neutral Bestvs CAR, 1.01x | Dallas Goedert: Neutral vs TEN, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Neutral Best1.00x average | Dallas Goedert: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 42% 45 graded games | Dallas Goedert: 56% Best34 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Kyle Pitts: 100% | Dallas Goedert: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Swingy Spread 0.82 | Dallas Goedert: Steady BestSpread 0.64 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 25.9 yrs Year 6 | Dallas Goedert: 31.7 yrs Year 9 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Swingy Best | Dallas Goedert: Steady |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Cooling off Best | Dallas Goedert: Trending up |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Blue-chip Age 25.9 | Dallas Goedert: Win-now asset Age 31.7 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Weekly starter | Dallas Goedert: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
3,650
BestDallas Goedert
2,864
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
#77
BestDown 12 in 30 days
Dallas Goedert
#113
Up 11 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
TE7
BestTier 2
Dallas Goedert
TE13
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
-10.3%
Range 3,528 to 4,215
Dallas Goedert
+5.4%
BestRange 2,650 to 2,864
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
TE2 (2025)
BestBefore that: TE15, TE13
Dallas Goedert
TE7 (2025)
Before that: TE28, TE14
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Kyle Pitts
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Dallas Goedert
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Healthy
Dallas Goedert
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
177.8
Best16 games left
Dallas Goedert
161.0
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
11.1
BestRange 8.8 to 13.4
Dallas Goedert
10.1
Range 8.4 to 11.7
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
10.8
BestWeek 2 vs CAR
Dallas Goedert
10.8
Week 2 vs TEN
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
Bestvs CAR, 1.01x
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
vs TEN, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
Best1.00x average
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
42%
45 graded games
Dallas Goedert
56%
Best34 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Kyle Pitts
100%
Dallas Goedert
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
Spread 0.82
Dallas Goedert
Steady
BestSpread 0.64
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
25.9 yrs
Year 6
Dallas Goedert
31.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
BestDallas Goedert
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Cooling off
BestDallas Goedert
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Blue-chip
Age 25.9
Dallas Goedert
Win-now asset
Age 31.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Weekly starter
Dallas Goedert
Every-week flex
Safer floor
Dallas Goedert is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Higher upside
Kyle Pitts has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Kyle Pitts carries the strongest current value.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beat Rate | 16% | Dallas Goedert | 1.1 |
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 11% | Dallas Goedert | 0.6 |
Down 12 in 30 days
Dallas Goedert: #113 Up 11 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: TE7 Tier 2 | Dallas Goedert: TE13 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: -10.3% Range 3,528 to 4,215 | Dallas Goedert: +5.4% Range 2,650 to 2,864 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: TE2 (2025) Before that: TE15, TE13 | Dallas Goedert: TE7 (2025) Before that: TE28, TE14 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Kyle Pitts: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Dallas Goedert: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Healthy | Dallas Goedert: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 177.8 16 games left | Dallas Goedert: 161.0 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 11.1 BestRange 8.8 to 13.4 | Dallas Goedert: 10.1 Range 8.4 to 11.7 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 10.8 BestWeek 2 vs CAR | Dallas Goedert: 10.8 Week 2 vs TEN |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Neutral Bestvs CAR, 1.01x | Dallas Goedert: Neutral vs TEN, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Neutral 1.00x average | Dallas Goedert: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: 42% 45 graded games | Dallas Goedert: 56% Best34 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 100% | Dallas Goedert: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Kyle Pitts: Swingy Spread 0.82 | Dallas Goedert: Steady BestSpread 0.64 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: 25.9 yrs Year 6 | Dallas Goedert: 31.7 yrs Year 9 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Swingy | Dallas Goedert: Steady |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Cooling off | Dallas Goedert: Trending up |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Blue-chip Age 25.9 | Dallas Goedert: Win-now asset Age 31.7 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Kyle Pitts: Weekly starter | Dallas Goedert: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
3,650
Dallas Goedert
2,864
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
#77
Down 12 in 30 days
Dallas Goedert
#113
Up 11 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
TE7
Tier 2
Dallas Goedert
TE13
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
-10.3%
Range 3,528 to 4,215
Dallas Goedert
+5.4%
Range 2,650 to 2,864
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
TE2 (2025)
Before that: TE15, TE13
Dallas Goedert
TE7 (2025)
Before that: TE28, TE14
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Kyle Pitts
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Dallas Goedert
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Healthy
Dallas Goedert
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
177.8
16 games left
Dallas Goedert
161.0
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
11.1
BestRange 8.8 to 13.4
Dallas Goedert
10.1
Range 8.4 to 11.7
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
10.8
BestWeek 2 vs CAR
Dallas Goedert
10.8
Week 2 vs TEN
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
Bestvs CAR, 1.01x
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
vs TEN, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Neutral
1.00x average
Dallas Goedert
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
42%
45 graded games
Dallas Goedert
56%
Best34 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
100%
Dallas Goedert
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
Spread 0.82
Dallas Goedert
Steady
BestSpread 0.64
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
25.9 yrs
Year 6
Dallas Goedert
31.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Swingy
Dallas Goedert
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Cooling off
Dallas Goedert
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Blue-chip
Age 25.9
Dallas Goedert
Win-now asset
Age 31.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Kyle Pitts
Weekly starter
Dallas Goedert
Every-week flex
| Week | Kyle Pitts | Opponent | Dallas Goedert | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10.8 | CAR | 10.8 | TEN |
| 3 | 11.0 | GB | 10.7 | CHI |
| 4 | 11.0 | NO | 10.0 | LAR |
| 5 | 10.5 | BAL | 9.3 | JAX |
| 6 | 11.8 | CHI | 10.0 | CAR |
| 7 | 11.0 | SF | 11.0 | DAL |
| 8 | 11.6 | TB | 11.4 | WAS |
| 9 | 12.0 | CIN | 9.3 | NYG |
| 10 | 10.4 | KC | Bye | - |
| 11 | Bye | - | 9.9 | PIT |
| 12 | 10.0 | MIN | 11.0 | DAL |
| 13 | 10.8 | DET | 10.1 | ARI |
| 14 | 10.7 | CLE | 10.2 | IND |
| 15 | 12.6 | WAS | 9.0 | SEA |
| 16 | 11.6 | TB | 9.1 | HOU |
| 17 | 11.0 | NO | 10.1 | SF |
| 18 | 10.8 | CAR | 9.3 | NYG |
Dallas GoedertNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 2 | CAR | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 3 | GB | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 4 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 5 | BAL | 0.98 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 6 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 7 | SF | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 8 | TB | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Kyle Pitts | 9 | CIN | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Kyle Pitts | 10 | KC | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 12 | MIN | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 13 | DET | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 14 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 15 | WAS | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Kyle Pitts | 16 | TB | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Kyle Pitts | 17 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Kyle Pitts | 18 | CAR | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 2 | TEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 3 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 4 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 5 | JAX | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 6 | CAR | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 7 | DAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 8 | WAS | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Dallas Goedert | 9 | NYG | 0.98 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 11 | PIT | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Dallas Goedert | 12 | DAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 13 | ARI | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 14 | IND | 1.02 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 15 | SEA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 16 | HOU | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 17 | SF | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Dallas Goedert | 18 | NYG | 0.98 | Neutral |
| 161 |
| 187 |
| Did not play |
|---|
| Weeks |
|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Dallas Goedert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Date | Kyle Pitts | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | 3,650 | 2,864 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 3,528 | 2,795 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 3,982 | 2,703 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 4,012 | 2,692 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 3,989 | 2,762 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 3,976 | 2,753 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 3,802 | 2,784 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 3,828 | 2,758 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 3,829 | 2,792 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 3,845 | 2,786 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 3,770 | 2,757 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 3,845 | 2,762 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 3,813 | 2,750 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 3,875 | 2,737 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 3,880 | 2,812 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 3,856 | 2,794 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 3,861 | 2,802 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 3,846 | 2,801 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 3,845 | 2,794 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 3,966 | 2,802 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 3,976 | 2,759 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 3,941 | 2,738 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4,215 | 2,793 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 4,142 | 2,781 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 3,985 | 2,738 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 4,048 | 2,703 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 3,856 | 2,650 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 4,025 | 2,667 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 4,047 | 2,679 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 4,070 | 2,718 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 4,052 | 2,706 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 4,103 | 2,710 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 4,129 | 2,683 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 4,120 | 2,665 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 4,116 | 2,700 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 3,975 | 2,697 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 3,973 | 2,672 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 3,974 | 2,682 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3,979 | 2,678 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 3,906 | 2,687 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 3,880 | 2,696 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 3,912 | 2,682 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3,858 | 2,684 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3,905 | 2,695 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 3,923 | 2,703 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 3,908 | 2,709 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 3,948 | 2,733 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 4,014 | 2,699 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 3,996 | 2,709 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 3,962 | 2,674 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 3,965 | 2,655 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 4,006 | 2,645 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 4,009 | 2,622 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 3,963 | 2,646 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 3,960 | 2,645 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 3,953 | 2,665 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 3,961 | 2,651 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 4,032 | 2,662 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 4,049 | 2,658 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 4,039 | 2,721 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 4,033 | 2,729 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 4,029 | 2,690 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 4,016 | 2,706 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 4,017 | 2,662 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 4,008 | 2,644 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 4,011 | 2,637 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 4,013 | 2,633 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 4,009 | 2,632 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 4,008 | 2,625 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 4,007 | 2,611 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 4,016 | 2,578 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 4,024 | 2,577 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 3,981 | 2,576 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3,983 | 2,581 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 3,963 | 2,597 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 3,952 | 2,549 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 3,948 | 2,585 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 3,955 | 2,615 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 3,959 | 2,586 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 3,942 | 2,600 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 3,985 | 2,625 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 4,011 | 2,683 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 3,997 | 2,665 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 3,974 | 2,659 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 3,949 | 2,653 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 3,916 | 2,660 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 3,895 | 2,634 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 3,922 | 2,632 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | 3,909 | 2,616 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3,936 | 2,540 |
Redraft 1QB PPR
Sep 8, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 31, 2026
Dynasty PPR 1QB
Sep 10, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 12, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Jul 19, 2026