Will Reichard or Wil Lutz?
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Will Reichard
StartTools
Working out who to start.
Week 2
Real Week 2 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Will Reichard
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
K
MIN
6.2 projected points
Wil Lutz
SitK
DEN
6.2 projected points
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Mike Evans
StartWR
SF
13.7 projected points
Malik Nabers
SitWR
NYG
13.7 projected points
Start Courtland Sutton. Sutton projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Courtland Sutton
StartWR
DEN
10.3 projected points
Parker Washington
SitWR
JAX
10.3 projected points
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects 0.0 points clear of David Montgomery in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Montgomery.
Saquon Barkley
StartRB
PHI
16.7 projected points
David Montgomery
SitRB
HOU
16.7 projected points
Start Tyler Warren. Warren projects 0.0 points clear of Travis Kelce in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Kelce.
Tyler Warren
StartTE
IND
11.4 projected points
Travis Kelce
SitTE
KC
11.4 projected points
Start Brandon Aubrey. Aubrey projects 0.0 points clear of Ka'imi Fairbairn in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Fairbairn.
Brandon Aubrey
StartK
DAL
7.5 projected points
Ka'imi Fairbairn
SitK
HOU
7.5 projected points
Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase projects 0.1 points clear of Amon-Ra St. Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
Ja'Marr Chase
StartWR
CIN
18.3 projected points
Amon-Ra St. Brown
SitWR
DET
18.3 projected points
Start Luther Burden. Burden projects 0.0 points clear of DK Metcalf in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Metcalf.
Luther Burden
StartWR
CHI
12.3 projected points
DK Metcalf
SitWR
PIT
12.3 projected points
Start Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Evan McPherson
StartK
CIN
6.0 projected points
Jake Bates
SitK
DET
5.9 projected points
Start De'Von Achane. Achane projects 0.1 points clear of Kyren Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
De'Von Achane
StartRB
MIA
17.9 projected points
Kyren Williams
SitRB
LAR
17.8 projected points
Start Cleveland Browns. Browns projects 0.0 points clear of New Orleans Saints in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Saints.
Cleveland Browns
StartDEF
CLE
5.0 projected points
New Orleans Saints
SitDEF
NO
5.0 projected points
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.1 points clear of Lamar Jackson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jackson.
Josh Allen
StartQB
BUF
21.0 projected points
Lamar Jackson
SitQB
BAL
20.9 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.1 points clear of Lamar Jackson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jackson.
Full breakdown: Allen vs JacksonTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes projects 0.1 points clear of Joe Burrow in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Burrow.
Put Mahomes and Burrow on the boardStart Justin Herbert. Herbert projects 0.1 points clear of Jaxson Dart in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Dart.
Check Herbert against DartWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects 0.0 points clear of David Montgomery in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Montgomery.
Full breakdown: Barkley vs MontgomeryStart De'Von Achane. Achane projects 0.1 points clear of Kyren Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Put Achane and Williams on the boardStart Bucky Irving. Irving projects 0.1 points clear of Rico Dowdle in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Dowdle.
Check Irving against DowdleStart Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Full breakdown: Evans vs NabersStart Courtland Sutton. Sutton projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Put Sutton and Washington on the boardStart Tetairoa McMillan. McMillan projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Check McMillan against NabersStart Tyler Warren. Warren projects 0.0 points clear of Travis Kelce in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Kelce.
Full breakdown: Warren vs KelceStart Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Put Pitts and Goedert on the boardStart George Kittle. Kittle projects 0.1 points clear of Colston Loveland in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore Loveland.
Check Kittle against LovelandDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Full breakdown: Reichard vs LutzStart Brandon Aubrey. Aubrey projects 0.0 points clear of Ka'imi Fairbairn in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Fairbairn.
Put Aubrey and Fairbairn on the boardStart Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Check McPherson against BatesWeek 2, 2026. Projections updated Sep 13, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.1 points clear of Lamar Jackson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jackson.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
QB
BUF
opponent (DET)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR21.0
Floor 12.5,Ceiling 29.4
Matchup
Sit this player
QB
BAL
opponent (NO)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR20.9
Start this player
QB
BUF
opponent (DET)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR21.0
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 30 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Josh Allen 50 percent, Lamar Jackson 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Josh Allen holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Josh Allen 53%, Lamar Jackson 47%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Josh Allen holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Josh Allen 53%, Lamar Jackson 47%.
Game environment
Beat rate
29%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,841
Overall rank
#20
Floor 13.8,Ceiling 27.9
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
54%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,086
Overall rank
#28
Floor 12.5,Ceiling 29.4
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
29%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,841
Overall rank
#20
Sit this player
QB
BAL
opponent (NO)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR20.9
Floor 13.8,Ceiling 27.9
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
54%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,086
Overall rank
#28
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (leader) | 53% |
| Lamar Jackson | 47% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson, in percentage points. Totals: Josh Allen 5.1 points, Lamar Jackson 1.7 points, for a final split of 53 to 47.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Josh Allen by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Josh Allen by 0.7 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Josh Allen by 2.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Josh Allen by 1.2 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Lamar Jackson by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Lamar Jackson by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 2% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Lamar Jackson by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 2 percent of the weight.
Totals: Josh Allen 5.1 points, Lamar Jackson 1.7 points, for a final split of 53 to 47. 7 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Josh Allen | 0.8 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Josh Allen | 0.7 |
| Recent Production | 5% | Josh Allen | 2.4 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Josh Allen | 1.2 |
| Upside | 10% | Lamar Jackson | 1.0 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Lamar Jackson | 0.4 |
| Beat Rate | 2% | Lamar Jackson | 0.3 |
| Category | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 6,841 Best | Lamar Jackson: 6,086 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: #20 BestDown 6 in 30 days | Lamar Jackson: #28 Up 12 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: QB1 BestTier 1 | Lamar Jackson: QB2 Tier 1 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: -9.5% Range 6,770 to 7,898 | Lamar Jackson: +14.4% BestRange 5,285 to 6,091 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: QB1 (2025) BestBefore that: QB2, QB1 | Lamar Jackson: QB20 (2025) Before that: QB1, QB4 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Lamar Jackson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Healthy | Lamar Jackson: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 331.8 Best16 games left | Lamar Jackson: 326.5 16 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 20.7 BestRange 18.6 to 22.8 | Lamar Jackson: 20.4 Range 18.7 to 22.1 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 21.0 Week 2 vs DET | Lamar Jackson: 20.9 Week 2 vs NO |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Neutral vs DET, 1.00x | Lamar Jackson: Neutral vs NO, 1.00x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Neutral 1.00x average | Lamar Jackson: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 29% 29 graded games | Lamar Jackson: 54% Best25 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: 100% | Lamar Jackson: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Metronome Spread 0.40 | Lamar Jackson: Metronome BestSpread 0.34 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: 30.3 yrs Year 9 | Lamar Jackson: 29.7 yrs Year 9 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Metronome Best | Lamar Jackson: Metronome |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Cooling off | Lamar Jackson: Trending up Best |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Win-now asset Age 30.3 | Lamar Jackson: Win-now asset Age 29.7 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Weekly starter | Lamar Jackson: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
6,841
BestLamar Jackson
6,086
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
#20
BestDown 6 in 30 days
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Josh Allen takes 53% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Josh Allen leads on ff beacon value and age & long-term appeal.
Safer floor
Lamar Jackson is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Lamar Jackson has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Josh Allen carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
Josh Allen holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Josh Allen 54%, Lamar Jackson 46%.
Averaged across 16 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Josh Allen holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Josh Allen 54%, Lamar Jackson 46%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (leader) | 54% |
| Lamar Jackson | 46% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson, in percentage points. Totals: Josh Allen 5.6 points, Lamar Jackson 1.3 points, for a final split of 54 to 46.
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Josh Allen by 3.8 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Josh Allen by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Josh Allen by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
| Category | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 6,841 Best | Lamar Jackson: 6,086 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Josh Allen takes 54% of the composite for the rest of this season.
What is driving it
Josh Allen leads on rest-of-season points and recent production.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
Lamar Jackson holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Lamar Jackson 52%, Josh Allen 48%.
Averaged across 6 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Lamar Jackson holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Lamar Jackson 52%, Josh Allen 48%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson (leader) | 52% |
| Josh Allen | 48% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson, in percentage points. Totals: Josh Allen 0.0 points, Lamar Jackson 2.4 points, for a final split of 48 to 52.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Lamar Jackson by 2.4 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Totals: Josh Allen 0.0 points, Lamar Jackson 2.4 points, for a final split of 48 to 52. 5 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beat Rate | 16% | Lamar Jackson |
| Category | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 6,841 | Lamar Jackson: 6,086 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: #20 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Lamar Jackson takes 52% of the composite for this week.
What is driving it
Lamar Jackson leads on next game and beat rate.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Josh Allen
Range 298 to 365 points. Schedule: neutral.
Lamar Jackson
Range 299 to 354 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 2 to week 18. Josh Allen totals 332 points, Lamar Jackson totals 327 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Josh Allen has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Lamar Jackson has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Josh AllenNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Josh Allen projects for 332 points, in a range from 298 to 365. Lamar Jackson projects for 327 points, in a range from 299 to 354.
Josh Allen
298 to 365 pts
Lamar Jackson
299 to 354 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 298 | 332 | 365 |
| Lamar Jackson | 299 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Josh Allen
From 29 graded games across 29 projected weeks.
Lamar Jackson
From 25 graded games across 25 projected weeks.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Josh Allen: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Lamar Jackson: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Josh Allen
Did not play 17
Lamar Jackson
Did not play 17
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust |
|---|
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Josh Allen
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 6 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 316.3.
Josh Allen is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Lamar Jackson
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 12 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 202.1.
Lamar Jackson is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Josh Allen went from 7,709 to 6,841, down 868. Lamar Jackson went from 5,331 to 6,086, up 755
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 1, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 Best | 13 |
| Total yards | 4,247 Best | 2,898 |
| Scrimmage yards | 579 Best | 349 |
| Total TDs | 39 Best | 23 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 374.6 Best | 221.9 |
| PPR per game | 22.0 Best | 17.1 |
Passing
| Stat | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Completions | 319 Best | 192 |
| Pass attempts | 460 Best | 302 |
| Completion % | 69.3% Best | 63.6% |
| Passing yards | 3,668 Best | 2,549 |
| Passing TDs | 25 Best | 21 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 7 Best |
| Yards / attempt | 8.0 | 8.4 Best |
Rushing
| Stat | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 112 Best | 67 |
| Rushing yards | 579 Best | 349 |
| Rushing TDs | 14 Best | 2 |
| Yards / carry | 5.2 | 5.2 Best |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 424 Bestvs BAL | 279 vs BUF |
| Wk 2 | 207 vs NYJ | 238 Bestvs CLE |
| Wk 3 | 238 vs MIA | 323 Bestvs DET |
| Wk 4 | 254 Bestvs NO | 195 vs KC |
| Wk 5 | 306 Bestvs NE | - |
| Wk 6 | 222 Bestvs ATL | - |
| Wk 8 | 170 Bestvs CAR | - |
| Wk 9 | 292 Bestvs KC | 218 vs MIA |
| Wk 10 | 337 Bestvs MIA | 212 vs MIN |
| Wk 11 | 357 Bestvs TB | 203 vs CLE |
| Wk 12 | 273 Bestvs HOU | 164 vs NYJ |
| Wk 13 | 161 vs PIT | 273 Bestvs CIN |
| Wk 14 | 329 Bestvs CIN | 262 vs PIT |
| Wk 15 | 241 Bestvs NE | 176 vs CIN |
| Wk 16 | 147 Bestvs CLE | 108 vs NE |
| Wk 17 | 289 Bestvs PHI | - |
| Wk 18 | 0 vs NYJ | 247 Bestvs PIT |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade CalculatorLamar Jackson
#28
Up 12 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
QB1
BestTier 1
Lamar Jackson
QB2
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
-9.5%
Range 6,770 to 7,898
Lamar Jackson
+14.4%
BestRange 5,285 to 6,091
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
QB1 (2025)
BestBefore that: QB2, QB1
Lamar Jackson
QB20 (2025)
Before that: QB1, QB4
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Lamar Jackson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Healthy
Lamar Jackson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
331.8
Best16 games left
Lamar Jackson
326.5
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
20.7
BestRange 18.6 to 22.8
Lamar Jackson
20.4
Range 18.7 to 22.1
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
21.0
Week 2 vs DET
Lamar Jackson
20.9
Week 2 vs NO
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Neutral
vs DET, 1.00x
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
vs NO, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Neutral
1.00x average
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
29%
29 graded games
Lamar Jackson
54%
Best25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
100%
Lamar Jackson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Metronome
Spread 0.40
Lamar Jackson
Metronome
BestSpread 0.34
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
30.3 yrs
Year 9
Lamar Jackson
29.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Metronome
BestLamar Jackson
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Cooling off
Lamar Jackson
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Win-now asset
Age 30.3
Lamar Jackson
Win-now asset
Age 29.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Weekly starter
Lamar Jackson
Every-week flex
Beat Rate
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Lamar Jackson by 1.3 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Totals: Josh Allen 5.6 points, Lamar Jackson 1.3 points, for a final split of 54 to 46. 12 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recent Production | 8% | Josh Allen | 3.8 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Josh Allen | 1.0 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Josh Allen | 0.8 |
| Beat Rate | 8% | Lamar Jackson | 1.3 |
Josh Allen: #20 BestDown 6 in 30 days |
Lamar Jackson: #28 Up 12 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: QB1 BestTier 1 | Lamar Jackson: QB2 Tier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: -9.5% Range 6,770 to 7,898 | Lamar Jackson: +14.4% BestRange 5,285 to 6,091 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: QB1 (2025) BestBefore that: QB2, QB1 | Lamar Jackson: QB20 (2025) Before that: QB1, QB4 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Lamar Jackson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Healthy | Lamar Jackson: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 331.8 Best16 games left | Lamar Jackson: 326.5 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 20.7 BestRange 18.6 to 22.8 | Lamar Jackson: 20.4 Range 18.7 to 22.1 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 21.0 BestWeek 2 vs DET | Lamar Jackson: 20.9 Week 2 vs NO |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Neutral vs DET, 1.00x | Lamar Jackson: Neutral vs NO, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Neutral 1.00x average | Lamar Jackson: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 29% 29 graded games | Lamar Jackson: 54% Best25 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: 100% | Lamar Jackson: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Metronome Spread 0.40 | Lamar Jackson: Metronome BestSpread 0.34 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 30.3 yrs Year 9 | Lamar Jackson: 29.7 yrs Year 9 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Metronome Best | Lamar Jackson: Metronome |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Cooling off | Lamar Jackson: Trending up Best |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Win-now asset Age 30.3 | Lamar Jackson: Win-now asset Age 29.7 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Weekly starter | Lamar Jackson: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
6,841
BestLamar Jackson
6,086
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
#20
BestDown 6 in 30 days
Lamar Jackson
#28
Up 12 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
QB1
BestTier 1
Lamar Jackson
QB2
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
-9.5%
Range 6,770 to 7,898
Lamar Jackson
+14.4%
BestRange 5,285 to 6,091
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
QB1 (2025)
BestBefore that: QB2, QB1
Lamar Jackson
QB20 (2025)
Before that: QB1, QB4
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Lamar Jackson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Healthy
Lamar Jackson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
331.8
Best16 games left
Lamar Jackson
326.5
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
20.7
BestRange 18.6 to 22.8
Lamar Jackson
20.4
Range 18.7 to 22.1
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
21.0
BestWeek 2 vs DET
Lamar Jackson
20.9
Week 2 vs NO
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Neutral
vs DET, 1.00x
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
vs NO, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Neutral
1.00x average
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
29%
29 graded games
Lamar Jackson
54%
Best25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
100%
Lamar Jackson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Metronome
Spread 0.40
Lamar Jackson
Metronome
BestSpread 0.34
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
30.3 yrs
Year 9
Lamar Jackson
29.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Metronome
BestLamar Jackson
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Cooling off
Lamar Jackson
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Win-now asset
Age 30.3
Lamar Jackson
Win-now asset
Age 29.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Weekly starter
Lamar Jackson
Every-week flex
Safer floor
Lamar Jackson is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Higher upside
Lamar Jackson has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Josh Allen carries the strongest current value.
| 2.4 |
Down 6 in 30 days
Lamar Jackson: #28 Up 12 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: QB1 Tier 1 | Lamar Jackson: QB2 Tier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: -9.5% Range 6,770 to 7,898 | Lamar Jackson: +14.4% Range 5,285 to 6,091 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: QB1 (2025) Before that: QB2, QB1 | Lamar Jackson: QB20 (2025) Before that: QB1, QB4 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Lamar Jackson: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Healthy | Lamar Jackson: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 331.8 16 games left | Lamar Jackson: 326.5 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 20.7 BestRange 18.6 to 22.8 | Lamar Jackson: 20.4 Range 18.7 to 22.1 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 21.0 BestWeek 2 vs DET | Lamar Jackson: 20.9 Week 2 vs NO |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Josh Allen: Neutral vs DET, 1.00x | Lamar Jackson: Neutral vs NO, 1.00x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Neutral 1.00x average | Lamar Jackson: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: 29% 29 graded games | Lamar Jackson: 54% Best25 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 100% | Lamar Jackson: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Josh Allen: Metronome Spread 0.40 | Lamar Jackson: Metronome BestSpread 0.34 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: 30.3 yrs Year 9 | Lamar Jackson: 29.7 yrs Year 9 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Metronome | Lamar Jackson: Metronome |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Cooling off | Lamar Jackson: Trending up |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Win-now asset Age 30.3 | Lamar Jackson: Win-now asset Age 29.7 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Josh Allen: Weekly starter | Lamar Jackson: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
6,841
Lamar Jackson
6,086
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
#20
Down 6 in 30 days
Lamar Jackson
#28
Up 12 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
QB1
Tier 1
Lamar Jackson
QB2
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
-9.5%
Range 6,770 to 7,898
Lamar Jackson
+14.4%
Range 5,285 to 6,091
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
QB1 (2025)
Before that: QB2, QB1
Lamar Jackson
QB20 (2025)
Before that: QB1, QB4
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Lamar Jackson
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Healthy
Lamar Jackson
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
331.8
16 games left
Lamar Jackson
326.5
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
20.7
BestRange 18.6 to 22.8
Lamar Jackson
20.4
Range 18.7 to 22.1
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
21.0
BestWeek 2 vs DET
Lamar Jackson
20.9
Week 2 vs NO
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Josh Allen
Neutral
vs DET, 1.00x
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
vs NO, 1.00x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Neutral
1.00x average
Lamar Jackson
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
29%
29 graded games
Lamar Jackson
54%
Best25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
100%
Lamar Jackson
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Josh Allen
Metronome
Spread 0.40
Lamar Jackson
Metronome
BestSpread 0.34
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
30.3 yrs
Year 9
Lamar Jackson
29.7 yrs
Year 9
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Metronome
Lamar Jackson
Metronome
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Cooling off
Lamar Jackson
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Win-now asset
Age 30.3
Lamar Jackson
Win-now asset
Age 29.7
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Josh Allen
Weekly starter
Lamar Jackson
Every-week flex
Safer floor
Lamar Jackson is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
| Week | Josh Allen | Opponent | Lamar Jackson | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 21.0 | DET | 20.9 | NO |
| 3 | 18.4 | LAC | 23.1 | DAL |
| 4 | 21.5 | NE | 22.8 | TEN |
| 5 | 20.3 | LAR | 20.3 | ATL |
| 6 | 19.6 | LV | 20.3 | CLE |
| 7 | Bye | - | 22.8 | CIN |
| 8 | 18.7 | BAL | 20.0 | BUF |
| 9 | 18.7 | MIN | 18.0 | JAX |
| 10 | 23.1 | NYJ | 18.1 | LAC |
| 11 | 22.9 | MIA | 19.7 | CAR |
| 12 | 19.7 | KC | 18.1 | HOU |
| 13 | 21.5 | NE | Bye | - |
| 14 | 20.8 | GB | 21.3 | TB |
| 15 | 22.6 | CHI | 19.0 | PIT |
| 16 | 16.8 | DEN | 20.3 | CLE |
| 17 | 22.9 | MIA | 22.8 | CIN |
| 18 | 23.1 | NYJ | 19.0 | PIT |
Lamar JacksonNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 2 | DET | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 3 | LAC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 4 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 5 | LAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 6 | LV | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 8 | BAL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 9 | MIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 10 | NYJ | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 11 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 12 | KC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 13 | NE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 14 | GB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 15 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 16 | DEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 17 | MIA | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Josh Allen | 18 | NYJ | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 2 | NO | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 3 | DAL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 4 | TEN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 5 | ATL | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 6 | CLE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 7 | CIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 8 | BUF | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 9 | JAX | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 10 | LAC | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 11 | CAR | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 12 | HOU | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 14 | TB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 15 | PIT | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 16 | CLE | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 17 | CIN | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Lamar Jackson | 18 | PIT | 1.00 | Neutral |
| 327 |
| 354 |
| Did not play |
|---|
| Weeks |
|---|
| Josh Allen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Lamar Jackson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Date | Josh Allen | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | 6,841 | 6,086 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 6,886 | 6,091 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 6,893 | 5,617 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 6,770 | 5,804 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 7,480 | 5,744 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 7,482 | 5,753 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 7,469 | 5,736 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 7,487 | 5,863 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 7,475 | 5,852 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 7,714 | 5,855 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 7,483 | 5,738 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 7,643 | 5,736 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 7,406 | 5,577 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 7,284 | 5,601 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 7,680 | 5,507 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 7,670 | 5,565 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 7,778 | 5,547 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 7,898 | 5,445 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 7,823 | 5,507 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 7,790 | 5,482 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 7,739 | 5,483 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 7,841 | 5,285 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 7,665 | 5,329 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 7,816 | 5,450 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 7,845 | 5,494 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 7,810 | 5,492 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 7,863 | 5,508 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 7,803 | 5,431 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 7,586 | 5,529 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 7,511 | 5,316 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 7,561 | 5,320 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 7,526 | 5,301 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 7,555 | 5,295 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 7,618 | 5,247 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 7,567 | 5,227 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 7,553 | 5,225 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 7,600 | 5,298 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 7,595 | 5,247 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 7,581 | 5,219 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 7,517 | 5,206 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 7,482 | 5,112 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 7,575 | 5,117 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 7,573 | 5,141 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 7,512 | 5,152 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 7,516 | 5,147 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 7,576 | 5,234 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 7,630 | 5,260 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 7,639 | 5,230 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 7,706 | 5,239 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 7,576 | 5,195 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 7,595 | 5,196 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 7,562 | 5,196 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 7,596 | 5,204 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 7,629 | 5,367 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 7,558 | 5,306 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 7,555 | 5,235 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 7,655 | 5,256 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 7,603 | 5,231 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 7,591 | 5,208 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 7,517 | 5,182 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 7,490 | 5,175 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 7,500 | 5,201 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 7,513 | 5,231 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 7,520 | 5,233 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 7,560 | 5,260 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 7,645 | 5,254 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 7,611 | 5,243 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 7,633 | 5,242 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 7,618 | 5,241 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 7,644 | 5,241 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 7,581 | 5,239 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 7,607 | 5,253 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 7,638 | 5,235 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 7,643 | 5,249 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 7,660 | 5,251 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 7,685 | 5,239 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 7,633 | 5,266 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 7,686 | 5,281 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 7,644 | 5,245 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 7,629 | 5,322 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 7,616 | 5,316 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 7,681 | 5,316 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 7,684 | 5,337 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 7,707 | 5,338 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 7,671 | 5,341 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 7,712 | 5,339 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 7,701 | 5,326 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 7,679 | 5,324 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 7,709 | 5,331 |
Redraft PPR SF TEP
Aug 31, 2026
Dynasty PPR 1QB
Aug 12, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 3, 2026
Redraft PPR SF TEP
Sep 2, 2026
Redraft PPR SF
Aug 21, 2026