Mike Evans or Garrett Wilson?
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartTools
Working out who to start.
Week 2
Real Week 2 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Mike Evans
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
WR
SF
14.0 projected points
Garrett Wilson
SitWR
NYJ
14.0 projected points
Start Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Parker Washington
StartWR
JAX
10.3 projected points
Rome Odunze
SitWR
CHI
10.3 projected points
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
StartK
HOU
7.6 projected points
Brandon Aubrey
SitK
DAL
7.6 projected points
Start Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Emeka Egbuka
StartWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Chris Godwin
SitWR
TB
11.2 projected points
Start Chris Olave. Olave projects 0.0 points clear of Zay Flowers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Flowers.
Chris Olave
StartWR
NO
16.0 projected points
Zay Flowers
SitWR
BAL
16.0 projected points
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Jalen Hurts
StartQB
PHI
21.9 projected points
Jayden Daniels
SitQB
WAS
21.9 projected points
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Jadarian Price
StartRB
SEA
11.7 projected points
Rhamondre Stevenson
SitRB
NE
11.6 projected points
Start Ladd McConkey. McConkey projects 0.0 points clear of Davante Adams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Adams.
Ladd McConkey
StartWR
LAC
12.4 projected points
Davante Adams
SitWR
LAR
12.3 projected points
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Josh Allen
StartQB
BUF
21.4 projected points
Brock Purdy
SitQB
SF
21.3 projected points
Start Brian Thomas. Thomas projects 0.0 points clear of Marvin Harrison in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Harrison.
Brian Thomas
StartWR
JAX
9.2 projected points
Marvin Harrison
SitWR
ARI
9.2 projected points
Start Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Kyle Pitts
StartTE
ATL
10.8 projected points
Dallas Goedert
SitTE
PHI
10.8 projected points
Start Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Indianapolis Colts
StartDEF
IND
5.2 projected points
Cleveland Browns
SitDEF
CLE
5.1 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Jalen Hurts. Hurts projects 0.0 points clear of Jayden Daniels in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Daniels.
Full breakdown: Hurts vs DanielsTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.0 points clear of Brock Purdy in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Purdy.
Put Allen and Purdy on the boardStart Caleb Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Patrick Mahomes in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Mahomes.
Check Williams against MahomesWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Jadarian Price. Price projects 0.0 points clear of Rhamondre Stevenson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Stevenson.
Full breakdown: Price vs StevensonStart Javonte Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Chase Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
Put Williams and Brown on the boardStart Chase Brown. Brown projects 0.1 points clear of Kenneth Walker in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Walker.
Check Brown against WalkerStart Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Garrett Wilson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Wilson.
Full breakdown: Evans vs WilsonStart Parker Washington. Washington projects 0.0 points clear of Rome Odunze in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Odunze.
Put Washington and Odunze on the boardStart Emeka Egbuka. Egbuka projects 0.0 points clear of Chris Godwin in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Godwin.
Check Egbuka against GodwinStart Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Full breakdown: Pitts vs GoedertStart George Kittle. Kittle projects 0.1 points clear of Colston Loveland in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Loveland.
Put Kittle and Loveland on the boardStart Dallas Goedert. Goedert projects 0.1 points clear of Sam LaPorta in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore LaPorta.
Check Goedert against LaPortaDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Ka'imi Fairbairn. Fairbairn projects 0.0 points clear of Brandon Aubrey in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Aubrey.
Full breakdown: Fairbairn vs AubreyStart Indianapolis Colts. Colts projects 0.1 points clear of Cleveland Browns in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Browns.
Put Colts and Browns on the boardStart Cam Little. Little projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Check Little against BatesWeek 2, 2026. Projections updated Sep 11, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Javonte Williams. Williams projects 0.1 points clear of Chase Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
RB
DAL
opponent (WAS)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR15.8
Floor 9.1,Ceiling 22.5
Matchup
Sit this player
RB
CIN
opponent (HOU)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR15.7
Start this player
RB
DAL
opponent (WAS)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR15.8
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 25 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Javonte Williams 50 percent, Chase Brown 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Chase Brown holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 55%, Javonte Williams 45%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Chase Brown holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 55%, Javonte Williams 45%.
Game environment
Beat rate
29%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,218
Overall rank
#27
Floor 7.2,Ceiling 24.2
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
70%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
7,554
Overall rank
#14
Floor 9.1,Ceiling 22.5
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
29%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
6,218
Overall rank
#27
Sit this player
RB
CIN
opponent (HOU)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR15.7
Floor 7.2,Ceiling 24.2
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
70%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
7,554
Overall rank
#14
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (leader) | 55% |
| Javonte Williams | 45% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Javonte Williams or Chase Brown, in percentage points. Totals: Javonte Williams 0.3 points, Chase Brown 4.9 points, for a final split of 45 to 55.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Chase Brown by 1.3 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Chase Brown by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Chase Brown by 1.4 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Risk Level
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Risk Level: favors Javonte Williams by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Chase Brown by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Chase Brown by 0.7 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 2% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Chase Brown by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 2 percent of the weight.
Totals: Javonte Williams 0.3 points, Chase Brown 4.9 points, for a final split of 45 to 55. 7 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Chase Brown | 1.3 |
| Upside | 10% | Chase Brown | 0.3 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Chase Brown | 1.4 |
| Risk Level | 5% | Javonte Williams | 0.3 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Chase Brown | 0.8 |
| Recent Production | 5% | Chase Brown | 0.7 |
| Beat Rate | 2% | Chase Brown | 0.4 |
| Category | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 6,218 | Chase Brown: 7,554 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: #27 Up 3 in 30 days | Chase Brown: #14 BestUp 9 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: RB13 Tier 1 | Chase Brown: RB8 BestTier 1 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: +10.1% Range 5,464 to 6,476 | Chase Brown: +19.7% BestRange 6,456 to 7,896 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: RB12 (2025) Before that: RB30, RB29 | Chase Brown: RB7 (2025) BestBefore that: RB10, RB63 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Chase Brown: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Healthy | Chase Brown: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 225.9 16 games left | Chase Brown: 276.0 Best16 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 14.1 Range 12.6 to 15.6 | Chase Brown: 17.2 BestRange 14.9 to 19.6 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 15.8 Week 2 vs WAS | Chase Brown: 15.7 Week 2 vs HOU |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Favorable vs WAS, 1.02x | Chase Brown: Tough vs HOU, 0.98x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Neutral 1.00x average | Chase Brown: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 29% 41 graded games | Chase Brown: 70% Best45 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: 100% | Chase Brown: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Metronome BestSpread 0.43 | Chase Brown: Steady Spread 0.54 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: 26.4 yrs Year 6 | Chase Brown: 26.5 yrs Year 4 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Metronome Best | Chase Brown: Steady |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Trending up | Chase Brown: Trending up Best |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Blue-chip Age 26.4 | Chase Brown: Blue-chip Age 26.5 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Every-week flex | Chase Brown: Weekly starter |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
6,218
Chase Brown
7,554
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
#27
Up 3 in 30 days
Chase Brown
#14
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Chase Brown takes 55% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Chase Brown leads on ff beacon value and age & long-term appeal.
Safer floor
Javonte Williams is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Chase Brown has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Chase Brown carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
Chase Brown holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 57%, Javonte Williams 43%.
Averaged across 16 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Chase Brown holds a clear edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 57%, Javonte Williams 43%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (leader) | 57% |
| Javonte Williams | 43% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Javonte Williams or Chase Brown, in percentage points. Totals: Javonte Williams 0.0 points, Chase Brown 7.0 points, for a final split of 43 to 57.
Rest-of-Season Points
Weighted at 20% of this lens
Rest-of-Season Points: favors Chase Brown by 1.0 percentage points, carrying 20 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Chase Brown by 1.8 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Projected Per Game
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Projected Per Game: favors Chase Brown by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
| Category | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 6,218 | Chase Brown: 7,554 Best |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Chase Brown takes 57% of the composite for the rest of this season.
What is driving it
Chase Brown leads on rest-of-season points and overall rank.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
Chase Brown holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 53%, Javonte Williams 47%.
Averaged across 6 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Chase Brown holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Chase Brown 53%, Javonte Williams 47%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (leader) | 53% |
| Javonte Williams | 47% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Javonte Williams or Chase Brown, in percentage points. Totals: Javonte Williams 0.2 points, Chase Brown 3.4 points, for a final split of 47 to 53.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 11% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors Javonte Williams by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 11 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Chase Brown by 3.2 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Projected Per Game
Weighted at 4% of this lens
Projected Per Game: favors Chase Brown by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 4 percent of the weight.
| Category | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 6,218 | Chase Brown: 7,554 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: #27 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Chase Brown takes 53% of the composite for this week.
What is driving it
Chase Brown leads on next game and beat rate.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Javonte Williams
Range 202 to 250 points. Schedule: neutral.
Chase Brown
Range 239 to 313 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 2 to week 18. Javonte Williams totals 226 points, Chase Brown totals 276 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Javonte Williams has a neutral at 1.00 times average. Chase Brown has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Javonte WilliamsNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Javonte Williams projects for 226 points, in a range from 202 to 250. Chase Brown projects for 276 points, in a range from 239 to 313.
Javonte Williams
202 to 250 pts
Chase Brown
239 to 313 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 202 | 226 | 250 |
| Chase Brown | 239 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Javonte Williams
From 41 graded games across 41 projected weeks.
Chase Brown
From 45 graded games across 45 projected weeks.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Javonte Williams: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Chase Brown: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Javonte Williams
Did not play 17
Chase Brown
Did not play 17
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust |
|---|
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Javonte Williams
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 3 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 307.5.
Javonte Williams is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Chase Brown
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 9 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 376.7.
Chase Brown is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Javonte Williams went from 5,938 to 6,218, up 280. Chase Brown went from 5,715 to 7,554, up 1,839
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Unmatched format
Sep 5, 2026
Unmatched format
Sep 5, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 17 Best |
| Total yards | 1,338 | 1,456 Best |
| Scrimmage yards | 1,338 | 1,456 Best |
| Total TDs | 13 Best | 11 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 242.8 | 282.6 Best |
| PPR per game | 15.2 | 16.6 Best |
Rushing
| Stat | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 252 Best | 232 |
| Rushing yards | 1,201 Best | 1,019 |
| Rushing TDs | 11 Best | 6 |
| Yards / carry | 4.8 Best | 4.4 |
Receiving
| Stat | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 51 | 88 Best |
| Receptions | 35 | 69 Best |
| Catch % | 68.6% | 78.4% Best |
| Receiving yards | 137 | 437 Best |
| Receiving TDs | 2 | 5 Best |
| Yards / catch | 3.9 | 6.3 Best |
| Yards / target | 2.7 | 5.0 Best |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 64 Bestvs PHI | 51 vs CLE |
| Wk 2 | 130 Bestvs NYG | 65 vs JAX |
| Wk 3 | 92 Bestvs CHI | 20 vs MIN |
| Wk 4 | 100 Bestvs GB | 71 vs DEN |
| Wk 5 | 139 Bestvs NYJ | 48 vs DET |
| Wk 6 | 34 vs CAR | 49 Bestvs GB |
| Wk 7 | 118 Bestvs WAS | 100 vs PIT |
| Wk 8 | 49 vs DEN | 105 Bestvs NYJ |
| Wk 9 | 83 vs ARI | 112 Bestvs CHI |
| Wk 11 | 93 vs LV | 127 Bestvs PIT |
| Wk 12 | 101 vs PHI | 130 Bestvs NE |
| Wk 13 | 80 vs KC | 113 Bestvs BAL |
| Wk 14 | 67 Bestvs DET | 35 vs BUF |
| Wk 15 | 91 Bestvs MIN | 90 vs BAL |
| Wk 16 | 43 vs LAC | 109 Bestvs MIA |
| Wk 17 | 54 vs WAS | 141 Bestvs ARI |
| Wk 18 | 0 vs NYG | 90 Bestvs CLE |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade CalculatorUp 9 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
RB13
Tier 1
Chase Brown
RB8
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
+10.1%
Range 5,464 to 6,476
Chase Brown
+19.7%
BestRange 6,456 to 7,896
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
RB12 (2025)
Before that: RB30, RB29
Chase Brown
RB7 (2025)
BestBefore that: RB10, RB63
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Chase Brown
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Healthy
Chase Brown
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
225.9
16 games left
Chase Brown
276.0
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
14.1
Range 12.6 to 15.6
Chase Brown
17.2
BestRange 14.9 to 19.6
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
15.8
Week 2 vs WAS
Chase Brown
15.7
Week 2 vs HOU
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Favorable
vs WAS, 1.02x
Chase Brown
Tough
vs HOU, 0.98x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Neutral
1.00x average
Chase Brown
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
29%
41 graded games
Chase Brown
70%
Best45 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
100%
Chase Brown
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Metronome
BestSpread 0.43
Chase Brown
Steady
Spread 0.54
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
26.4 yrs
Year 6
Chase Brown
26.5 yrs
Year 4
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Metronome
BestChase Brown
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Trending up
Chase Brown
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Blue-chip
Age 26.4
Chase Brown
Blue-chip
Age 26.5
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Every-week flex
Chase Brown
Weekly starter
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Chase Brown by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 7% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Chase Brown by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Chase Brown by 1.7 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Chase Brown by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Totals: Javonte Williams 0.0 points, Chase Brown 7.0 points, for a final split of 43 to 57. 9 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points | 20% | Chase Brown | 1.0 |
| Overall Rank | 12% | Chase Brown | 1.8 |
| Projected Per Game | 8% | Chase Brown | 0.4 |
| Recent Production | 8% | Chase Brown | 1.1 |
| FF Beacon Value | 7% | Chase Brown | 0.3 |
| Beat Rate | 8% | Chase Brown | 1.7 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Chase Brown | 0.6 |
Javonte Williams: #27 Up 3 in 30 days |
Chase Brown: #14 BestUp 9 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: RB13 Tier 1 | Chase Brown: RB8 BestTier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: +10.1% Range 5,464 to 6,476 | Chase Brown: +19.7% BestRange 6,456 to 7,896 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: RB12 (2025) Before that: RB30, RB29 | Chase Brown: RB7 (2025) BestBefore that: RB10, RB63 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Chase Brown: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Healthy | Chase Brown: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 225.9 16 games left | Chase Brown: 276.0 Best16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 14.1 Range 12.6 to 15.6 | Chase Brown: 17.2 BestRange 14.9 to 19.6 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 15.8 BestWeek 2 vs WAS | Chase Brown: 15.7 Week 2 vs HOU |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Favorable Bestvs WAS, 1.02x | Chase Brown: Tough vs HOU, 0.98x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Neutral Best1.00x average | Chase Brown: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 29% 41 graded games | Chase Brown: 70% Best45 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: 100% | Chase Brown: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Metronome BestSpread 0.43 | Chase Brown: Steady Spread 0.54 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 26.4 yrs Year 6 | Chase Brown: 26.5 yrs Year 4 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Metronome Best | Chase Brown: Steady |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Trending up | Chase Brown: Trending up Best |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Blue-chip Age 26.4 | Chase Brown: Blue-chip Age 26.5 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Every-week flex | Chase Brown: Weekly starter |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
6,218
Chase Brown
7,554
BestOverall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
#27
Up 3 in 30 days
Chase Brown
#14
BestUp 9 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
RB13
Tier 1
Chase Brown
RB8
BestTier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
+10.1%
Range 5,464 to 6,476
Chase Brown
+19.7%
BestRange 6,456 to 7,896
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
RB12 (2025)
Before that: RB30, RB29
Chase Brown
RB7 (2025)
BestBefore that: RB10, RB63
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Chase Brown
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Healthy
Chase Brown
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
225.9
16 games left
Chase Brown
276.0
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
14.1
Range 12.6 to 15.6
Chase Brown
17.2
BestRange 14.9 to 19.6
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
15.8
BestWeek 2 vs WAS
Chase Brown
15.7
Week 2 vs HOU
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Favorable
Bestvs WAS, 1.02x
Chase Brown
Tough
vs HOU, 0.98x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Neutral
Best1.00x average
Chase Brown
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
29%
41 graded games
Chase Brown
70%
Best45 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
100%
Chase Brown
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Metronome
BestSpread 0.43
Chase Brown
Steady
Spread 0.54
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
26.4 yrs
Year 6
Chase Brown
26.5 yrs
Year 4
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Metronome
BestChase Brown
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Trending up
Chase Brown
Trending up
BestDynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Blue-chip
Age 26.4
Chase Brown
Blue-chip
Age 26.5
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Every-week flex
Chase Brown
Weekly starter
Safer floor
Javonte Williams is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Higher upside
Chase Brown has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Chase Brown carries the strongest current value.
Totals: Javonte Williams 0.2 points, Chase Brown 3.4 points, for a final split of 47 to 53. 3 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 11% | Javonte Williams | 0.2 |
| Beat Rate | 16% | Chase Brown | 3.2 |
| Projected Per Game | 4% | Chase Brown | 0.2 |
Up 3 in 30 days
Chase Brown: #14 Up 9 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: RB13 Tier 1 | Chase Brown: RB8 Tier 1 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: +10.1% Range 5,464 to 6,476 | Chase Brown: +19.7% Range 6,456 to 7,896 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: RB12 (2025) Before that: RB30, RB29 | Chase Brown: RB7 (2025) Before that: RB10, RB63 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Javonte Williams: Starter Depth chart slot 1 | Chase Brown: Starter Depth chart slot 1 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Healthy | Chase Brown: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 225.9 16 games left | Chase Brown: 276.0 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 14.1 Range 12.6 to 15.6 | Chase Brown: 17.2 BestRange 14.9 to 19.6 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 15.8 BestWeek 2 vs WAS | Chase Brown: 15.7 Week 2 vs HOU |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Favorable Bestvs WAS, 1.02x | Chase Brown: Tough vs HOU, 0.98x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Neutral 1.00x average | Chase Brown: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: 29% 41 graded games | Chase Brown: 70% Best45 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 100% | Chase Brown: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Javonte Williams: Metronome BestSpread 0.43 | Chase Brown: Steady Spread 0.54 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: 26.4 yrs Year 6 | Chase Brown: 26.5 yrs Year 4 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Metronome | Chase Brown: Steady |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Trending up | Chase Brown: Trending up |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Blue-chip Age 26.4 | Chase Brown: Blue-chip Age 26.5 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Javonte Williams: Every-week flex | Chase Brown: Weekly starter |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
6,218
Chase Brown
7,554
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
#27
Up 3 in 30 days
Chase Brown
#14
Up 9 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
RB13
Tier 1
Chase Brown
RB8
Tier 1
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
+10.1%
Range 5,464 to 6,476
Chase Brown
+19.7%
Range 6,456 to 7,896
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
RB12 (2025)
Before that: RB30, RB29
Chase Brown
RB7 (2025)
Before that: RB10, RB63
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Javonte Williams
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Chase Brown
Starter
Depth chart slot 1
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Healthy
Chase Brown
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
225.9
16 games left
Chase Brown
276.0
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
14.1
Range 12.6 to 15.6
Chase Brown
17.2
BestRange 14.9 to 19.6
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
15.8
BestWeek 2 vs WAS
Chase Brown
15.7
Week 2 vs HOU
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Favorable
Bestvs WAS, 1.02x
Chase Brown
Tough
vs HOU, 0.98x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Neutral
1.00x average
Chase Brown
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
29%
41 graded games
Chase Brown
70%
Best45 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
100%
Chase Brown
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Javonte Williams
Metronome
BestSpread 0.43
Chase Brown
Steady
Spread 0.54
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
26.4 yrs
Year 6
Chase Brown
26.5 yrs
Year 4
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Metronome
Chase Brown
Steady
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Trending up
Chase Brown
Trending up
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Blue-chip
Age 26.4
Chase Brown
Blue-chip
Age 26.5
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Javonte Williams
Every-week flex
Chase Brown
Weekly starter
Safer floor
Javonte Williams is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
| Week | Javonte Williams | Opponent | Chase Brown | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 15.8 | WAS | 15.7 | HOU |
| 3 | 13.2 | BAL | 15.9 | PIT |
| 4 | 12.6 | HOU | 16.0 | JAX |
| 5 | 14.2 | TB | 19.7 | MIA |
| 6 | 13.5 | GB | Bye | - |
| 7 | 12.7 | PHI | 16.6 | BAL |
| 8 | 15.6 | ARI | 19.9 | TEN |
| 9 | 14.0 | IND | 17.6 | ATL |
| 10 | 14.9 | SF | 15.9 | PIT |
| 11 | 16.2 | TEN | 19.7 | WAS |
| 12 | 12.7 | PHI | 16.2 | NO |
| 13 | 11.5 | SEA | 17.0 | CLE |
| 14 | Bye | - | 16.1 | KC |
| 15 | 12.4 | LAR | 18.7 | CAR |
| 16 | 12.9 | JAX | 17.5 | IND |
| 17 | 17.7 | NYG | 16.6 | BAL |
| 18 | 15.8 | WAS | 17.0 | CLE |
Chase BrownNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 2 | WAS | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Javonte Williams | 3 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 4 | HOU | 0.98 | Tough |
| Javonte Williams | 5 | TB | 0.98 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 6 | GB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 7 | PHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 8 | ARI | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Javonte Williams | 9 | IND | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 10 | SF | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Javonte Williams | 11 | TEN | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 12 | PHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 13 | SEA | 0.97 | Tough |
| Javonte Williams | 15 | LAR | 0.97 | Tough |
| Javonte Williams | 16 | JAX | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Javonte Williams | 17 | NYG | 1.04 | Favorable |
| Javonte Williams | 18 | WAS | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Chase Brown | 2 | HOU | 0.98 | Tough |
| Chase Brown | 3 | PIT | 0.98 | Tough |
| Chase Brown | 4 | JAX | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 5 | MIA | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Chase Brown | 7 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 8 | TEN | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 9 | ATL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 10 | PIT | 0.98 | Tough |
| Chase Brown | 11 | WAS | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Chase Brown | 12 | NO | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 13 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 14 | KC | 0.97 | Tough |
| Chase Brown | 15 | CAR | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Chase Brown | 16 | IND | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 17 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Chase Brown | 18 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| 276 |
| 313 |
| Did not play |
|---|
| Weeks |
|---|
| Javonte Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Chase Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Date | Javonte Williams | Chase Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | 6,218 | 7,554 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 6,125 | 7,551 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 6,450 | 7,683 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 6,469 | 7,680 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 6,476 | 7,709 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 6,435 | 7,706 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 6,406 | 7,641 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 6,363 | 7,611 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 6,165 | 7,896 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 6,191 | 7,572 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 5,940 | 7,475 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 6,059 | 7,468 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 6,066 | 7,387 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 6,037 | 7,371 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 5,811 | 7,298 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 5,738 | 7,435 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 6,045 | 7,462 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 6,121 | 7,443 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 5,964 | 6,995 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 5,799 | 6,991 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 5,795 | 7,010 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 5,799 | 6,972 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 5,794 | 6,989 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 5,689 | 6,984 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 5,598 | 6,881 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 5,578 | 6,830 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 5,503 | 6,764 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 5,464 | 6,514 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 5,537 | 6,456 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 5,647 | 6,313 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 5,647 | 6,316 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 5,664 | 6,267 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 5,744 | 6,267 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 5,740 | 6,286 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 5,636 | 6,213 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 5,726 | 6,283 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 5,694 | 6,329 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 5,742 | 6,227 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 5,716 | 6,020 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 5,757 | 6,084 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 5,797 | 6,172 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 5,777 | 6,340 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 5,812 | 6,228 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 5,783 | 6,183 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 5,788 | 6,069 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 5,796 | 6,111 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 5,767 | 6,012 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 5,748 | 6,059 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 5,710 | 6,004 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 5,728 | 5,956 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 5,756 | 6,003 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 5,817 | 5,837 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 5,838 | 5,835 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 5,855 | 5,783 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 5,862 | 5,769 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 5,863 | 5,832 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 5,882 | 5,740 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 5,889 | 5,689 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 5,901 | 5,679 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 5,933 | 5,734 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 5,938 | 5,737 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 5,920 | 5,829 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 5,944 | 5,808 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 5,933 | 5,912 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 5,951 | 5,762 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 5,946 | 5,761 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 5,898 | 5,742 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 5,928 | 5,791 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 5,941 | 5,792 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 5,900 | 5,763 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 5,873 | 5,840 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 5,883 | 5,851 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 5,866 | 5,820 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 5,884 | 5,874 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 5,890 | 5,804 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 5,981 | 5,791 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 5,961 | 5,773 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 5,904 | 5,784 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 5,984 | 5,809 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 5,971 | 5,802 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 5,988 | 5,779 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 5,957 | 5,802 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 5,997 | 5,778 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 5,959 | 5,790 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 5,964 | 5,712 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 5,992 | 5,610 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 5,985 | 5,651 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 5,975 | 5,644 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | 5,891 | 5,680 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | 5,938 | 5,715 |
Redraft 1QB PPR
Sep 3, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 4, 2026
Redraft 1QB Half PPR
Aug 29, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 29, 2026