Will Reichard or Wil Lutz?
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Will Reichard
StartTools
Working out who to start.
Week 2
Real Week 2 comparisons with the verdict already worked out. Open any of them on the board for the full breakdown.
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Will Reichard
StartThe method
It starts with a weekly point projection from Sleeper, rescored under the format set in the site header rather than left in one generic scoring. That single adjustment is why a TE premium league or a superflex league can see a different lean than a standard league for the same two players.
Still not sure?
The confidence figure gives you a clear lean, but a close start/sit call can stay close. Bring it to our Discord and real fantasy managers will help you settle it for free. Want to know what's behind FF Beacon? Read about the project.
K
MIN
6.2 projected points
Wil Lutz
SitK
DEN
6.2 projected points
Start Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Mike Evans
StartWR
SF
13.7 projected points
Malik Nabers
SitWR
NYG
13.7 projected points
Start Courtland Sutton. Sutton projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Courtland Sutton
StartWR
DEN
10.3 projected points
Parker Washington
SitWR
JAX
10.3 projected points
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects 0.0 points clear of David Montgomery in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Montgomery.
Saquon Barkley
StartRB
PHI
16.7 projected points
David Montgomery
SitRB
HOU
16.7 projected points
Start Tyler Warren. Warren projects 0.0 points clear of Travis Kelce in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Kelce.
Tyler Warren
StartTE
IND
11.4 projected points
Travis Kelce
SitTE
KC
11.4 projected points
Start Brandon Aubrey. Aubrey projects 0.0 points clear of Ka'imi Fairbairn in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Fairbairn.
Brandon Aubrey
StartK
DAL
7.5 projected points
Ka'imi Fairbairn
SitK
HOU
7.5 projected points
Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase projects 0.1 points clear of Amon-Ra St. Brown in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Brown.
Ja'Marr Chase
StartWR
CIN
18.3 projected points
Amon-Ra St. Brown
SitWR
DET
18.3 projected points
Start Luther Burden. Burden projects 0.0 points clear of DK Metcalf in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Metcalf.
Luther Burden
StartWR
CHI
12.3 projected points
DK Metcalf
SitWR
PIT
12.3 projected points
Start Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Evan McPherson
StartK
CIN
6.0 projected points
Jake Bates
SitK
DET
5.9 projected points
Start De'Von Achane. Achane projects 0.1 points clear of Kyren Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
De'Von Achane
StartRB
MIA
17.9 projected points
Kyren Williams
SitRB
LAR
17.8 projected points
Start Cleveland Browns. Browns projects 0.0 points clear of New Orleans Saints in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Saints.
Cleveland Browns
StartDEF
CLE
5.0 projected points
New Orleans Saints
SitDEF
NO
5.0 projected points
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.1 points clear of Lamar Jackson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jackson.
Josh Allen
StartQB
BUF
21.0 projected points
Lamar Jackson
SitQB
BAL
20.9 projected points
Next comes the matchup: how many fantasy points the opposing defense has allowed to that position, measured from our own player-by-player results rather than taken from the projection source, and adjusted for the strength of the offenses that defense actually faced. It blends the two most recent seasons of games actually played, weighting the more recent one heavier.
Then a reliability discount: how often the player has actually beaten the player's own projection in games graded so far this season, and how often the player has been available to play at all. A boom-or-bust player gets pulled back toward the field; a steady one keeps more of that projected number.
Finally, the confidence figure: the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on the bench, built from the same win-probability math the League Pulse schedule board uses to grade a matchup.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day; the timestamp above the board is the exact time the numbers you are looking at were last pulled.
Scoring formats
The format chip at the top of the board follows whatever you have set in the site header, and every player's projection is repriced under that scoring rather than shown once in a single format. PPR and half PPR change how much a high-target pass catcher is worth next to a workhorse runner; standard drops the reception bonus entirely and shifts the whole board toward touchdowns and yardage.
TE premium and superflex are treated as real formats here, not a checkbox bolted onto a PPR number, because both change who the better start actually is. For a deeper look at where a player ranks under your own scoring, see the full Redraft 1QB PPR rankings board or browse rankings for every format we support.
Your board is set to
Redraft 1QB PPR
Change it from the format control in the site header.
Volume decides most quarterback weeks before the matchup does. A quarterback who throws forty times and adds rushing work on top can outscore a tougher matchup through pure opportunity, which is why the projection starts from expected attempts and carries, not from a single highlight-worthy throw. After volume, the tool weighs the matchup: how many points the opposing defense has allowed to the position, adjusted for the offenses that defense actually faced. Game environment matters too. A quarterback expected to trail throws more; one expected to lead runs the clock out and throws less. Rushing floor is usually what separates two similar passers when their passing numbers project close together.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects 0.1 points clear of Lamar Jackson in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Jackson.
Full breakdown: Allen vs JacksonTarget share moves a wide receiver's projection more than any other number, because a receiver who sees the ball ten times a game keeps a real floor even on a week the catches go for short gains. After volume, the tool looks at the matchup a receiver actually draws, the gap between a shadow cornerback and a zone look, folded into the defense's points allowed to the position rather than guessed at separately. Game script cuts the other way from running backs: a team expected to trail throws more, which lifts every pass catcher on the roster, including one who would otherwise look like the week's riskier option.
Target share does the most work at tight end, because touchdown-dependent, boom-or-bust production is what separates a usable weekly starter from a name a reader only half recognizes. The tool leans on route participation and red-zone role ahead of raw catch totals, since a tight end on the field for every pass play keeps a real floor even in a game that never turns into a shootout. Matchup still counts, particularly against a defense that struggles to cover the position out of its base personnel, but the gap between replacement level and the position's best players is unusually wide, so role tends to beat matchup more often here than it does at wide receiver.
A flex spot compares players across positions directly on projected points, which is exactly what this tool does: whichever player projects to score more, once matchup, role, and reliability are folded in, is the better start regardless of position. A running back's weekly floor usually comes from touches guaranteed regardless of how the game unfolds, while a receiver's ceiling usually comes from a matchup or a script that favors the pass, so the flex call is often a trade-off between the two rather than a clear edge for either position. When the projections sit close together, the confidence figure and the reliability numbers are the tiebreaker worth trusting over raw upside.
In order
Start with the projection: it already accounts for volume, role, and game script, so it beats a gut feeling about a name you recognize.
Weigh the matchup next, favorable or tough, but treat it as a nudge on a close projection rather than a reason to overturn a clear one.
If your team is favored, lean toward the safer floor between two similar options; if you are the underdog, lean toward the higher ceiling, since a spot start is worth more when you are chasing points than when you are protecting a lead.
Check injury status and weather last, after the numbers, since a limited practice designation or a wind forecast only matters once you know which players were close to begin with.
Never bench a clearly better player over a tough matchup alone; a stud facing a hard matchup is still usually a better start than a replacement-level player facing an easy one.
FAQ
Comparing up to 8 players at once is built into the board above; nothing here requires an account.
Yes. Add up to 8 players to one board and set how many of them you plan to start. The tool ranks the whole group and shows where the close calls sit, alongside the top pick.
It reprices every player under the format set in the site header, including PPR, half PPR, standard, TE premium, and superflex. Connect a Sleeper league from the board and the verdict switches to that league's own literal scoring rules instead of a generic format.
It is the probability that the player you are told to start actually outscores the closest player left on your bench, built from each player's projected points and how much those points tend to vary week to week. A figure near 50 percent means the call is close; one near 100 percent means it is not.
Projections and injury designations refresh once a day. The timestamp shown above the board is the exact time the numbers below it were last pulled.
Yes. Running a comparison costs nothing and does not require an account.
A ranking is a rest-of-season opinion; this verdict is for one week only. A player can sit ahead of another for the rest of the year and still be the worse start in a single week with a tougher matchup or a bye.
Whichever one this tool ranks higher for the week you are setting. Points are compared directly across positions here, which is exactly what a flex decision calls for, and the higher-ranked player is the better start regardless of position.
League Pulse
This tool answers one question at a time: of the players you put in, which ones to start. League Pulse answers a bigger one, your whole starting lineup for the week, filled from your actual Sleeper roster under your league's real scoring.
Start Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes projects 0.1 points clear of Joe Burrow in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Burrow.
Put Mahomes and Burrow on the boardStart Justin Herbert. Herbert projects 0.1 points clear of Jaxson Dart in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Dart.
Check Herbert against DartWorkload settles most running back decisions. Carries plus targets, not yards per carry, is the strongest predictor of a week's points, so the tool weighs a back's expected touch share ahead of anything about breakaway speed. Matchup counts for less here than reputation suggests: a defense that is stout against the run can still give up a pile of points through the passing game, so a back who catches passes keeps a real floor even against a tough front. Goal-line and short-yardage role adds touchdown equity a pure yardage projection misses, which is why work inside the ten is tracked as its own input rather than folded into one blended rate.
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects 0.0 points clear of David Montgomery in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Montgomery.
Full breakdown: Barkley vs MontgomeryStart De'Von Achane. Achane projects 0.1 points clear of Kyren Williams in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Williams.
Put Achane and Williams on the boardStart Bucky Irving. Irving projects 0.1 points clear of Rico Dowdle in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Dowdle.
Check Irving against DowdleStart Mike Evans. Evans projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Full breakdown: Evans vs NabersStart Courtland Sutton. Sutton projects 0.0 points clear of Parker Washington in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Washington.
Put Sutton and Washington on the boardStart Tetairoa McMillan. McMillan projects 0.0 points clear of Malik Nabers in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Nabers.
Check McMillan against NabersStart Tyler Warren. Warren projects 0.0 points clear of Travis Kelce in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Kelce.
Full breakdown: Warren vs KelceStart Kyle Pitts. Pitts projects 0.1 points clear of Dallas Goedert in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Goedert.
Put Pitts and Goedert on the boardStart George Kittle. Kittle projects 0.1 points clear of Colston Loveland in Redraft 1QB PPR, 51 percent to outscore Loveland.
Check Kittle against LovelandDefense and kicker both live and die by game script more than most positions. A defense's points lean heavily on takeaways and touchdowns, among the least predictable events in football, so the matchup, an opponent's turnover rate and offensive line quality, carries more weight here than for an offensive skill position. A kicker's floor is field goal volume, which rises in a game expected to stall in the red zone and falls in one expected to end in touchdowns, so the same game-environment signal that lowers a kicker's outlook often raises the defense's. Both are the most matchup-driven calls on the board and worth checking against the week's projected team totals.
Start Will Reichard. Reichard projects 0.0 points clear of Wil Lutz in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Lutz.
Full breakdown: Reichard vs LutzStart Brandon Aubrey. Aubrey projects 0.0 points clear of Ka'imi Fairbairn in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Fairbairn.
Put Aubrey and Fairbairn on the boardStart Evan McPherson. McPherson projects 0.0 points clear of Jake Bates in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Bates.
Check McPherson against BatesWeek 2, 2026. Projections updated Sep 13, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT.
The verdict
Start Bucky Irving. Irving projects 0.1 points clear of Rico Dowdle in Redraft 1QB PPR, 50 percent to outscore Dowdle.
A horizontally scrolling row of 2 player cards, starters first. Use the "Show as a list" button above to read them stacked instead.
Start this player
RB
TB
opponent (CLE)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR11.3
Floor 5.9,Ceiling 16.6
Matchup
Sit this player
RB
PIT
opponent (NE)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR11.2
Start this player
RB
TB
opponent (CLE)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR11.3
Each range bar runs from floor to ceiling on one shared scale, 0 to 20 points, so the bars compare across cards.
Value is the player's trade price. This week's points are the projection above.
Win probability: Bucky Irving 50 percent, Rico Dowdle 50 percent. The two teams are close to even.
Connect a Sleeper league and we will score every player under your league's own rules, then work out how many points each one really adds to your starting lineup.
Same numbers, weighted for the question you are asking.
The next game only: projection, matchup, and whether he is healthy.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal
Bucky Irving holds a strong edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 64%, Rico Dowdle 36%.
Averaged across 14 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Bucky Irving holds a strong edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 14 scored categories weighted for long-term value, age, and market signal. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 64%, Rico Dowdle 36%.
Game environment
Beat rate
42%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
5,089
Overall rank
#47
Floor 3.6,Ceiling 18.8
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
39%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
3,588
Overall rank
#78
Floor 5.9,Ceiling 16.6
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
42%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
5,089
Overall rank
#47
Sit this player
RB
PIT
opponent (NE)
Projected points
Redraft 1QB PPR11.2
Floor 3.6,Ceiling 18.8
Matchup
Game environment
Beat rate
39%
Availability
100%
Recent form
Not enough graded weeks to chart yet.
Value (FF Beacon)
3,588
Overall rank
#78
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (leader) | 64% |
| Rico Dowdle | 36% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Bucky Irving or Rico Dowdle, in percentage points. Totals: Bucky Irving 14.8 points, Rico Dowdle 0.8 points, for a final split of 64 to 36.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 28% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Bucky Irving by 2.4 percentage points, carrying 28 percent of the weight.
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Age & Long-Term Appeal: favors Bucky Irving by 7.8 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 10% of this lens
Upside: favors Bucky Irving by 1.8 percentage points, carrying 10 percent of the weight.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 9% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Bucky Irving by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 9 percent of the weight.
Positional Rank
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Bucky Irving by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
30-Day Trend
Weighted at 7% of this lens
30-Day Trend: favors Bucky Irving by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
Risk Level
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Risk Level: favors Bucky Irving by 0.5 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Rico Dowdle by 0.8 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Opportunity
Weighted at 3% of this lens
Opportunity: favors Bucky Irving by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 3 percent of the weight.
Totals: Bucky Irving 14.8 points, Rico Dowdle 0.8 points, for a final split of 64 to 36. 5 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value | 28% | Bucky Irving | 2.4 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal | 16% | Bucky Irving | 7.8 |
| Upside | 10% | Bucky Irving | 1.8 |
| Overall Rank | 9% | Bucky Irving | 1.1 |
| Positional Rank | 7% | Bucky Irving | 0.6 |
| 30-Day Trend | 7% | Bucky Irving | 0.2 |
| Risk Level | 5% | Bucky Irving | 0.5 |
| Category | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 5,089 Best | Rico Dowdle: 3,588 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: #47 BestUp 7 in 30 days | Rico Dowdle: #78 Down 7 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: RB21 BestTier 1 | Rico Dowdle: RB29 Tier 2 |
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: +7.5% BestRange 4,374 to 5,090 | Rico Dowdle: -5.7% Range 3,429 to 3,934 |
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: RB34 (2025) Before that: RB13 | Rico Dowdle: RB18 (2025) BestBefore that: RB23, RB50 |
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Starter BestDepth chart slot 1 | Rico Dowdle: Handcuff Depth chart slot 2 |
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Healthy | Rico Dowdle: Healthy |
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 183.5 16 games left | Rico Dowdle: 188.9 Best16 games left |
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 11.5 Range 10.1 to 12.8 | Rico Dowdle: 11.8 BestRange 9.8 to 13.8 |
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 11.3 Week 2 vs CLE | Rico Dowdle: 11.2 Week 2 vs NE |
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Neutral vs CLE, 0.99x | Rico Dowdle: Neutral vs NE, 0.99x |
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Neutral 0.99x average | Rico Dowdle: Neutral 1.00x average |
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 42% Best24 graded games | Rico Dowdle: 39% 25 graded games |
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Bucky Irving: 100% | Rico Dowdle: 100% |
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Steady BestSpread 0.47 | Rico Dowdle: Swingy Spread 0.68 |
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 24.1 yrs BestYear 3 | Rico Dowdle: 28.2 yrs Year 7 |
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Steady Best | Rico Dowdle: Swingy |
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Breakout arrow Best | Rico Dowdle: Cooling off |
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Cornerstone Age 24.1 | Rico Dowdle: Blue-chip Age 28.2 |
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Every-week flex | Rico Dowdle: Every-week flex |
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 28% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
5,089
BestRico Dowdle
3,588
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 9% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
#47
BestUp 7 in 30 days
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Bucky Irving takes 64% of the composite for dynasty value.
What is driving it
Bucky Irving leads on ff beacon value and age & long-term appeal.
Safer floor
Bucky Irving is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 2% of the dynasty value composite.
Higher upside
Bucky Irving has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Bucky Irving carries the strongest current value.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability
Bucky Irving holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 53%, Rico Dowdle 47%.
Averaged across 16 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Bucky Irving holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 16 scored categories weighted for rest-of-season projection, production, and reliability. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 53%, Rico Dowdle 47%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (leader) | 53% |
| Rico Dowdle | 47% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Bucky Irving or Rico Dowdle, in percentage points. Totals: Bucky Irving 4.2 points, Rico Dowdle 1.3 points, for a final split of 53 to 47.
Overall Rank
Weighted at 12% of this lens
Overall Rank: favors Bucky Irving by 1.4 percentage points, carrying 12 percent of the weight.
Opportunity
Weighted at 7% of this lens
Opportunity: favors Bucky Irving by 1.1 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
FF Beacon Value
Weighted at 7% of this lens
FF Beacon Value: favors Bucky Irving by 0.6 percentage points, carrying 7 percent of the weight.
| Category | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 5,089 Best | Rico Dowdle: 3,588 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Bucky Irving takes 53% of the composite for the rest of this season.
What is driving it
Bucky Irving leads on rest-of-season points and overall rank.
Beacon Edge
Weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health
Bucky Irving holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 53%, Rico Dowdle 47%.
Averaged across 6 scored categories. The table below shows exactly which players and categories moved it.
Every player's share of the weighted average, ranked.
Bucky Irving holds a slight edge on the Beacon Edge, averaged over 6 scored categories weighted for next game's projection, matchup, and health. Ranked by composite: Bucky Irving 53%, Rico Dowdle 47%.
| Player | Composite |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (leader) | 53% |
| Rico Dowdle | 47% |
Each bar is how far that category moved the meter, in percentage points. They add up to the split above.
Each category's pull toward Bucky Irving or Rico Dowdle, in percentage points. Totals: Bucky Irving 3.3 points, Rico Dowdle 0.0 points, for a final split of 53 to 47.
Opportunity
Weighted at 13% of this lens
Opportunity: favors Bucky Irving by 2.2 percentage points, carrying 13 percent of the weight.
Beat Rate
Weighted at 16% of this lens
Beat Rate: favors Bucky Irving by 0.2 percentage points, carrying 16 percent of the weight.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 11% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors Bucky Irving by 0.9 percentage points, carrying 11 percent of the weight.
| Category | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| FF Beacon Value Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 5,089 | Rico Dowdle: 3,588 |
| Overall Rank Where each player sits among every player at every position. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: #47 |
The plain-English answers, no table-reading required.
Best overall
Bucky Irving takes 53% of the composite for this week.
What is driving it
Bucky Irving leads on next game and next matchup.
Every remaining game, projected and matchup-adjusted.
Bucky Irving
Range 162 to 205 points. Schedule: neutral.
Rico Dowdle
Range 157 to 221 points. Schedule: neutral.
Players with the same total can get there very differently. This is the shape.
Weekly projected points from week 2 to week 18. Bucky Irving totals 183 points, Rico Dowdle totals 189 points.
How generous each upcoming defense has been to this position, from our own splits going back to 2020. Above 1.00 helps the player.
Bucky Irving has a neutral at 0.99 times average. Rico Dowdle has a neutral at 1.00 times average.
Bucky IrvingNeutral
The band is one standard deviation either side, built from how much this player's own weekly scores actually bounce around, not a flat percentage.
Bucky Irving projects for 183 points, in a range from 162 to 205. Rico Dowdle projects for 189 points, in a range from 157 to 221.
Bucky Irving
162 to 205 pts
Rico Dowdle
157 to 221 pts
| Player | Floor | Projection | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 162 | 183 | 205 |
| Rico Dowdle | 157 |
Projections start from Sleeper's weekly numbers and are then adjusted by our own model for how generous each opponent has been to the position, how reliably the player has hit the projection, how often the player has been available, and any current injury designation. This is the same model behind Power Pulse and the FAAB calculator.
Measured against each player's own weekly projections, not against each other.
Bucky Irving
From 24 graded games across 24 projected weeks.
Rico Dowdle
From 25 graded games across 25 projected weeks.
Every projected week of the 2026 season sorted by how the real game compared. Two players with the same average can live in completely different bars.
Bucky Irving: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks. Rico Dowdle: 0 boom, 0 about right, 0 bust, 17 missed, out of 17 projected weeks.
Bucky Irving
Did not play 17
Rico Dowdle
Did not play 17
| Player | Boom | About right | Bust |
|---|
A week a player was projected for but did not play counts as a miss, not as a week that never happened. Recent seasons count for far more than old ones, because roles and offenses change year to year. Both are deliberate: they make the number lower and more honest than a raw hit rate.
Draft price, value history, and the trades people actually made.
Bucky Irving
Sleeper PPR ADP
up 7 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 186.2.
Bucky Irving is going about where we rank that player.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Rico Dowdle
Sleeper PPR ADP
down 7 in 30d
Value volatility over 30 days: 124.3.
Rico Dowdle is going roughly 0.7 round later than our ranking suggests. That is a buying window.
Rounds assume 12 teams.
Redraft 1QB PPR, FF Beacon. Every player on one axis, so the shapes are directly comparable.
Bucky Irving went from 5,241 to 5,089, down 152. Rico Dowdle went from 3,629 to 3,588, down 41
Actual deals from leagues synced through League Pulse. What people paid, not what a calculator says they should have.
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 8, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 7, 2026
Regular-season totals, side by side. Best marks the top number in each row.
Overview
| Stat | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 17 Best |
| Total yards | 865 | 1,373 Best |
| Scrimmage yards | 865 | 1,373 Best |
| Total TDs | 4 | 7 Best |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | 138.5 | 216.3 Best |
| PPR per game | 13.8 Best | 12.7 |
Rushing
| Stat | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 173 | 236 Best |
| Rushing yards | 588 | 1,076 Best |
| Rushing TDs | 1 | 6 Best |
| Yards / carry | 3.4 | 4.6 Best |
Receiving
| Stat | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 35 | 50 Best |
| Receptions | 30 | 39 Best |
| Catch % | 85.7% Best | 78.0% |
| Receiving yards | 277 | 297 Best |
| Receiving TDs | 3 Best | 1 |
| Yards / catch | 9.2 Best | 7.6 |
| Yards / target | 7.9 Best | 5.9 |
One stat, week by week, for every player.
| Week | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 45 Bestvs ATL | 16 vs JAX |
| Wk 2 | 121 Bestvs HOU | 19 vs ARI |
| Wk 3 | 99 Bestvs NYJ | 38 vs ATL |
| Wk 4 | 165 Bestvs PHI | 30 vs NE |
| Wk 5 | - | 234 Bestvs MIA |
| Wk 6 | - | 239 Bestvs DAL |
| Wk 7 | - | 96 Bestvs NYJ |
| Wk 8 | - | 54 Bestvs BUF |
| Wk 9 | - | 141 Bestvs GB |
| Wk 10 | - | 63 Bestvs NO |
| Wk 11 | - | 100 Bestvs ATL |
| Wk 12 | - | 74 Bestvs SF |
| Wk 13 | 81 Bestvs ARI | 79 vs LAR |
| Wk 14 | 81 Bestvs NO | - |
| Wk 15 | 71 Bestvs ATL | 54 vs NO |
| Wk 16 | 71 Bestvs CAR | 43 vs TB |
| Wk 17 | 33 vs MIA | 63 Bestvs SEA |
| Wk 18 | 98 Bestvs CAR | 30 vs TB |
Real trades are rarely one player for one player. If these players are only part of a bigger deal, build the whole thing in the Signal Check trade calculator: it prices multi-player packages and draft picks together and grades the trade end to end.
Build the full trade in the Signal Check Trade Calculator| Recent Production | 5% | Rico Dowdle | 0.8 |
| Opportunity | 3% | Bucky Irving | 0.4 |
Rico Dowdle
#78
Down 7 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
RB21
BestTier 1
Rico Dowdle
RB29
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
+7.5%
BestRange 4,374 to 5,090
Rico Dowdle
-5.7%
Range 3,429 to 3,934
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
RB34 (2025)
Before that: RB13
Rico Dowdle
RB18 (2025)
BestBefore that: RB23, RB50
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Starter
BestDepth chart slot 1
Rico Dowdle
Handcuff
Depth chart slot 2
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Healthy
Rico Dowdle
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 3% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
183.5
16 games left
Rico Dowdle
188.9
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
11.5
Range 10.1 to 12.8
Rico Dowdle
11.8
BestRange 9.8 to 13.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
11.3
Week 2 vs CLE
Rico Dowdle
11.2
Week 2 vs NE
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Neutral
vs CLE, 0.99x
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
vs NE, 0.99x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Neutral
0.99x average
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
42%
Best24 graded games
Rico Dowdle
39%
25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Bucky Irving
100%
Rico Dowdle
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Steady
BestSpread 0.47
Rico Dowdle
Swingy
Spread 0.68
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
24.1 yrs
BestYear 3
Rico Dowdle
28.2 yrs
Year 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Steady
BestRico Dowdle
Swingy
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 10% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Breakout arrow
BestRico Dowdle
Cooling off
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Cornerstone
Age 24.1
Rico Dowdle
Blue-chip
Age 28.2
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Every-week flex
Rico Dowdle
Every-week flex
Positional Rank
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Positional Rank: favors Bucky Irving by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Recent Production
Weighted at 8% of this lens
Recent Production: favors Rico Dowdle by 1.3 percentage points, carrying 8 percent of the weight.
Week-to-Week Consistency
Weighted at 5% of this lens
Week-to-Week Consistency: favors Bucky Irving by 0.4 percentage points, carrying 5 percent of the weight.
Upside
Weighted at 2% of this lens
Upside: favors Bucky Irving by 0.3 percentage points, carrying 2 percent of the weight.
Totals: Bucky Irving 4.2 points, Rico Dowdle 1.3 points, for a final split of 53 to 47. 9 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Rank | 12% | Bucky Irving | 1.4 |
| Opportunity | 7% | Bucky Irving | 1.1 |
| FF Beacon Value | 7% | Bucky Irving | 0.6 |
| Positional Rank | 5% | Bucky Irving | 0.4 |
| Recent Production | 8% | Rico Dowdle | 1.3 |
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 5% | Bucky Irving | 0.4 |
| Upside | 2% | Bucky Irving | 0.3 |
Bucky Irving: #47 BestUp 7 in 30 days |
Rico Dowdle: #78 Down 7 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: RB21 BestTier 1 | Rico Dowdle: RB29 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: +7.5% BestRange 4,374 to 5,090 | Rico Dowdle: -5.7% Range 3,429 to 3,934 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: RB34 (2025) Before that: RB13 | Rico Dowdle: RB18 (2025) BestBefore that: RB23, RB50 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Starter BestDepth chart slot 1 | Rico Dowdle: Handcuff Depth chart slot 2 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Healthy | Rico Dowdle: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 183.5 16 games left | Rico Dowdle: 188.9 Best16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 11.5 Range 10.1 to 12.8 | Rico Dowdle: 11.8 BestRange 9.8 to 13.8 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 11.3 BestWeek 2 vs CLE | Rico Dowdle: 11.2 Week 2 vs NE |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Neutral Bestvs CLE, 0.99x | Rico Dowdle: Neutral vs NE, 0.99x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Neutral 0.99x average | Rico Dowdle: Neutral Best1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 42% Best24 graded games | Rico Dowdle: 39% 25 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens Even | Bucky Irving: 100% | Rico Dowdle: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Steady BestSpread 0.47 | Rico Dowdle: Swingy Spread 0.68 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 24.1 yrs Year 3 | Rico Dowdle: 28.2 yrs Year 7 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Steady Best | Rico Dowdle: Swingy |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Breakout arrow Best | Rico Dowdle: Cooling off |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Cornerstone Age 24.1 | Rico Dowdle: Blue-chip Age 28.2 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Every-week flex | Rico Dowdle: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
5,089
BestRico Dowdle
3,588
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Counts 12% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
#47
BestUp 7 in 30 days
Rico Dowdle
#78
Down 7 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
RB21
BestTier 1
Rico Dowdle
RB29
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
+7.5%
BestRange 4,374 to 5,090
Rico Dowdle
-5.7%
Range 3,429 to 3,934
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
RB34 (2025)
Before that: RB13
Rico Dowdle
RB18 (2025)
BestBefore that: RB23, RB50
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Starter
BestDepth chart slot 1
Rico Dowdle
Handcuff
Depth chart slot 2
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Healthy
Rico Dowdle
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Counts 20% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
183.5
16 games left
Rico Dowdle
188.9
Best16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
11.5
Range 10.1 to 12.8
Rico Dowdle
11.8
BestRange 9.8 to 13.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
11.3
BestWeek 2 vs CLE
Rico Dowdle
11.2
Week 2 vs NE
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Neutral
Bestvs CLE, 0.99x
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
vs NE, 0.99x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Neutral
0.99x average
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
Best1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 8% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
42%
Best24 graded games
Rico Dowdle
39%
25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Counts 7% toward the verdict for this lens
Even
Bucky Irving
100%
Rico Dowdle
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 5% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Steady
BestSpread 0.47
Rico Dowdle
Swingy
Spread 0.68
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
24.1 yrs
Year 3
Rico Dowdle
28.2 yrs
Year 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Steady
BestRico Dowdle
Swingy
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Counts 2% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Breakout arrow
BestRico Dowdle
Cooling off
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Cornerstone
Age 24.1
Rico Dowdle
Blue-chip
Age 28.2
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Every-week flex
Rico Dowdle
Every-week flex
Safer floor
Bucky Irving is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 5% of the the rest of this season composite.
Higher upside
Bucky Irving has the most room to climb from here.
Best trade target
Bucky Irving carries the strongest current value.
Totals: Bucky Irving 3.3 points, Rico Dowdle 0.0 points, for a final split of 53 to 47. 3 further categories scored too close to move the result.
| Category | Weight | Favors | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opportunity | 13% | Bucky Irving | 2.2 |
| Beat Rate | 16% | Bucky Irving | 0.2 |
| Week-to-Week Consistency | 11% | Bucky Irving | 0.9 |
Up 7 in 30 days
Rico Dowdle: #78 Down 7 in 30 days |
| Positional Rank Rank within their own position group. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: RB21 Tier 1 | Rico Dowdle: RB29 Tier 2 |
|---|
| 30-Day Trend How each player's value has moved over the last month. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: +7.5% Range 4,374 to 5,090 | Rico Dowdle: -5.7% Range 3,429 to 3,934 |
|---|
| Recent Production Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: RB34 (2025) Before that: RB13 | Rico Dowdle: RB18 (2025) Before that: RB23, RB50 |
|---|
| Opportunity Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume. Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Starter BestDepth chart slot 1 | Rico Dowdle: Handcuff Depth chart slot 2 |
|---|
| Health Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Healthy | Rico Dowdle: Healthy |
|---|
| Rest-of-Season Points Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 183.5 16 games left | Rico Dowdle: 188.9 16 games left |
|---|
| Projected Per Game Average projected points in each remaining game. Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 11.5 Range 10.1 to 12.8 | Rico Dowdle: 11.8 BestRange 9.8 to 13.8 |
|---|
| Next Game Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for. Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 11.3 BestWeek 2 vs CLE | Rico Dowdle: 11.2 Week 2 vs NE |
|---|
| Next Matchup How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits. Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Neutral Bestvs CLE, 0.99x | Rico Dowdle: Neutral vs NE, 0.99x |
|---|
| Remaining Schedule Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Neutral 0.99x average | Rico Dowdle: Neutral 1.00x average |
|---|
| Beat Rate How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him. Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: 42% Best24 graded games | Rico Dowdle: 39% 25 graded games |
|---|
| Availability Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 100% | Rico Dowdle: 100% |
|---|
| Week-to-Week Consistency How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup. Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens | Bucky Irving: Steady BestSpread 0.47 | Rico Dowdle: Swingy Spread 0.68 |
|---|
| Age & Long-Term Appeal Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: 24.1 yrs Year 3 | Rico Dowdle: 28.2 yrs Year 7 |
|---|
| Risk Level Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Steady | Rico Dowdle: Swingy |
|---|
| Upside Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Breakout arrow | Rico Dowdle: Cooling off |
|---|
| Dynasty Outlook A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Cornerstone Age 24.1 | Rico Dowdle: Blue-chip Age 28.2 |
|---|
| Redraft Outlook A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above. Context only, not counted toward the verdict | Bucky Irving: Every-week flex | Rico Dowdle: Every-week flex |
|---|
FF Beacon Value
Current market value on the trusted FF Beacon scale for this format.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
5,089
Rico Dowdle
3,588
Overall Rank
Where each player sits among every player at every position.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
#47
Up 7 in 30 days
Rico Dowdle
#78
Down 7 in 30 days
Positional Rank
Rank within their own position group.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
RB21
Tier 1
Rico Dowdle
RB29
Tier 2
30-Day Trend
How each player's value has moved over the last month.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
+7.5%
Range 4,374 to 5,090
Rico Dowdle
-5.7%
Range 3,429 to 3,934
Recent Production
Most recent full-season finish within their position by fantasy points.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
RB34 (2025)
Before that: RB13
Rico Dowdle
RB18 (2025)
Before that: RB23, RB50
Opportunity
Role on their team's depth chart, a proxy for expected volume.
Counts 13% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Starter
BestDepth chart slot 1
Rico Dowdle
Handcuff
Depth chart slot 2
Health
Current injury designation, which decides whether he can help you at all.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Healthy
Rico Dowdle
Healthy
Rest-of-Season Points
Projected fantasy points across every remaining game, adjusted for matchups and reliability.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
183.5
16 games left
Rico Dowdle
188.9
16 games left
Projected Per Game
Average projected points in each remaining game.
Counts 4% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
11.5
Range 10.1 to 12.8
Rico Dowdle
11.8
BestRange 9.8 to 13.8
Next Game
Projected points in the very next game we have a projection for.
Counts 38% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
11.3
BestWeek 2 vs CLE
Rico Dowdle
11.2
Week 2 vs NE
Next Matchup
How generous the next opponent has been to this position, from our own defensive splits.
Counts 18% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Neutral
Bestvs CLE, 0.99x
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
vs NE, 0.99x
Remaining Schedule
Average matchup difficulty across every game left, from our own defensive splits.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Neutral
0.99x average
Rico Dowdle
Neutral
1.00x average
Beat Rate
How often he meets or beats his own weekly projection. Weeks he was projected for but missed count against him.
Counts 16% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
42%
Best24 graded games
Rico Dowdle
39%
25 graded games
Availability
Share of the weeks he was projected for that he actually played.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
100%
Rico Dowdle
100%
Week-to-Week Consistency
How much his weekly score bounces around his projection. Steadier is better for setting a lineup.
Counts 11% toward the verdict for this lens
Bucky Irving
Steady
BestSpread 0.47
Rico Dowdle
Swingy
Spread 0.68
Age & Long-Term Appeal
Younger players hold value longer in dynasty formats.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
24.1 yrs
Year 3
Rico Dowdle
28.2 yrs
Year 7
Risk Level
Lower-risk profiles combine a steady weekly score, a proven tier, and prime age.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Steady
Rico Dowdle
Swingy
Upside
Room to climb, blending recent momentum, youth, and tier.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Breakout arrow
Rico Dowdle
Cooling off
Dynasty Outlook
A plain-language read blending market value with age. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above, so it does not count twice.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Cornerstone
Age 24.1
Rico Dowdle
Blue-chip
Age 28.2
Redraft Outlook
A plain-language read blending rank with recent production. Shown for context; its inputs are already scored above.
Context only, not counted toward the verdict
Bucky Irving
Every-week flex
Rico Dowdle
Every-week flex
Safer floor
Bucky Irving is the steadiest weekly hold, carrying 11% of the this week composite.
| Week | Bucky Irving | Opponent | Rico Dowdle | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11.3 | CLE | 11.2 | NE |
| 3 | 10.1 | MIN | 14.3 | CIN |
| 4 | 11.2 | GB | 11.5 | CLE |
| 5 | 14.0 | DAL | 11.9 | IND |
| 6 | 10.4 | PIT | 12.0 | TB |
| 7 | 12.6 | CAR | 10.8 | NO |
| 8 | 11.7 | ATL | 11.5 | CLE |
| 9 | 12.9 | CHI | Bye | - |
| 10 | Bye | - | 14.3 | CIN |
| 11 | 11.4 | DET | 10.8 | PHI |
| 12 | 12.6 | CAR | 10.0 | DEN |
| 13 | 11.3 | LAC | 10.7 | HOU |
| 14 | 11.0 | BAL | 10.9 | JAX |
| 15 | 10.5 | NO | 11.2 | BAL |
| 16 | 11.7 | ATL | 12.8 | CAR |
| 17 | 10.3 | LAR | 13.6 | TEN |
| 18 | 10.5 | NO | 11.2 | BAL |
Rico DowdleNeutral
| Player | Week | Opponent | Multiplier | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 2 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 3 | MIN | 0.97 | Tough |
| Bucky Irving | 4 | GB | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 5 | DAL | 1.03 | Favorable |
| Bucky Irving | 6 | PIT | 0.98 | Tough |
| Bucky Irving | 7 | CAR | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Bucky Irving | 8 | ATL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 9 | CHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 11 | DET | 0.97 | Tough |
| Bucky Irving | 12 | CAR | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Bucky Irving | 13 | LAC | 0.97 | Tough |
| Bucky Irving | 14 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 15 | NO | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 16 | ATL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Bucky Irving | 17 | LAR | 0.97 | Tough |
| Bucky Irving | 18 | NO | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 2 | NE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 3 | CIN | 1.04 | Favorable |
| Rico Dowdle | 4 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 5 | IND | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 6 | TB | 0.98 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 7 | NO | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 8 | CLE | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 10 | CIN | 1.04 | Favorable |
| Rico Dowdle | 11 | PHI | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 12 | DEN | 0.98 | Tough |
| Rico Dowdle | 13 | HOU | 0.98 | Tough |
| Rico Dowdle | 14 | JAX | 1.00 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 15 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 16 | CAR | 1.02 | Favorable |
| Rico Dowdle | 17 | TEN | 1.01 | Neutral |
| Rico Dowdle | 18 | BAL | 0.99 | Neutral |
| 189 |
| 221 |
| Did not play |
|---|
| Weeks |
|---|
| Bucky Irving | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Rico Dowdle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
| Date | Bucky Irving | Rico Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | 5,089 | 3,588 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 5,090 | 3,657 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 5,002 | 3,708 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 5,086 | 3,719 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 4,491 | 3,790 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 4,507 | 3,752 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 4,482 | 3,759 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 4,442 | 3,813 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 4,431 | 3,832 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 4,374 | 3,757 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 4,564 | 3,657 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 4,601 | 3,803 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 4,783 | 3,866 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 4,804 | 3,743 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 4,643 | 3,774 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 4,688 | 3,725 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4,672 | 3,601 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 4,585 | 3,525 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 4,708 | 3,564 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 4,604 | 3,515 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 4,579 | 3,488 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 4,626 | 3,558 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 4,595 | 3,605 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 4,567 | 3,610 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 4,623 | 3,577 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 4,684 | 3,572 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 4,672 | 3,584 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 4,806 | 3,507 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 4,738 | 3,429 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 4,720 | 3,934 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 4,733 | 3,804 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 4,990 | 3,717 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 4,967 | 3,717 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 5,049 | 3,598 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 5,056 | 3,628 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 4,989 | 3,631 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 4,977 | 3,616 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 5,092 | 3,611 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 5,066 | 3,592 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 5,062 | 3,619 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 5,050 | 3,600 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 5,042 | 3,575 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 5,055 | 3,581 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 5,086 | 3,590 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 5,108 | 3,596 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 5,097 | 3,554 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 5,109 | 3,609 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 5,222 | 3,619 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 5,219 | 3,600 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 5,171 | 3,603 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 5,185 | 3,590 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 5,156 | 3,603 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 5,173 | 3,608 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 5,136 | 3,600 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 5,207 | 3,604 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | 5,192 | 3,617 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 5,229 | 3,527 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 5,208 | 3,575 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 5,195 | 3,591 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 5,212 | 3,542 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 5,297 | 3,528 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 5,232 | 3,517 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 5,227 | 3,529 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 5,202 | 3,531 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 5,238 | 3,525 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 5,235 | 3,581 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 5,251 | 3,597 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 5,255 | 3,587 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 5,228 | 3,551 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 5,172 | 3,542 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 5,181 | 3,535 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 5,147 | 3,487 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 5,169 | 3,414 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 5,181 | 3,509 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 5,179 | 3,547 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 5,197 | 3,538 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 5,225 | 3,568 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 5,221 | 3,540 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 5,224 | 3,559 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 5,193 | 3,578 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 5,191 | 3,668 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 5,214 | 3,665 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 5,258 | 3,651 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | 5,246 | 3,630 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 5,248 | 3,644 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 5,237 | 3,643 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 5,221 | 3,705 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 5,224 | 3,661 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 5,241 | 3,629 |
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Sep 5, 2026
Redraft 1QB PPR
Aug 30, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 29, 2026
Dynasty PPR SF TEP
Aug 22, 2026